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2025 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · State Farm Stadium

Jacksonville JaguarsWinner

27

Arizona Cardinals

24

JAX -2.5 ✓O 47.5 ✓Dome

Jacksonville Jaguars 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 4:07, JAX +35% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4ARI ↑JAX ↓
OT · 4:07JAX 27 — ARI 24ARI ball · 4th & 4JAX 65%

(4:07) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete deep middle to 89-X.Weaver (21-C.Braswell, 42-A.Wingard).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 4:07JAX +35% win prob(4:07) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete deep middle to 89-X.Weaver (21-C.Braswell, 42-A.Wingard).
  2. OT · 7:51JAX +30% win prob(7:51) 39-C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  3. Q4 · 7:19ARI +27% win prob(7:19) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 4-G.Dortch for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q3 · 13:04JAX +22% win prob(13:04) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 3-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 21-G.Williams (93-C.Campbell) at ARI -6. Touchback.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:18JAX Touchdown

    (7:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 1-T.Etienne for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 7 — ARI 0
  2. Q1 · 2:34ARI Touchdown

    (2:34) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at JAX 3 for -9 yards (34-J.Thompson). FUMBLES (34-J.Thompson), RECOVERED by ARI-97-W.Nolen at JAX 7. 97-W.Nolen for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 7 — ARI 7
  3. Q2 · 13:01JAX Field goal

    (13:01) 39-C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 10 — ARI 7
  4. Q2 · 7:36ARI Touchdown

    (7:36) 78-J.Fryar and 71-J.Gaines reported in as eligible. 20-Z.Knight left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 10 — ARI 14
  5. Q3 · 8:15JAX Touchdown

    (8:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 3-J.Meyers for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 17 — ARI 14
  6. Q4 · 7:19ARI Touchdown

    (7:19) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 4-G.Dortch for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 17 — ARI 21
  7. Q4 · 3:54JAX Touchdown

    (3:54) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-P.Washington for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 24 — ARI 21
  8. Q4 · 0:06ARI Field goal

    (:06) 38-C.Ryland 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: JAX 24 — ARI 24
  9. OT · 7:51JAX Field goal

    (7:51) 39-C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 27 — ARI 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJaguarsCardinals
Offensive plays6076
Total yards372 (edge)326
Yards per play6.2 (edge)4.3
Expected points added / play-0.19-0.15 (edge)
Success rate42% (edge)41%
Dropback rate58%78%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.19-0.13 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.19 (edge)-0.19
Third downs3/115/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps1821 (edge)
Sacks taken3 (edge)6
Turnovers40 (edge)

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Jacoby BrissettQB

33/49, 317 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-8.5 expected points added · +3.1% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Trevor LawrenceQB

18/30, 256 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT

-9.0 expected points added · -3.0% completion over expected

Rushing · JAX

Travis EtienneRB

15 att, 86 yds, 0 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · JAX

Trevor LawrenceQB

5 att, 29 yds, 0 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Michael WilsonWR

10/15 for 118 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 2.0 expected points added

Receiving · JAX

Brenton StrangeTE

5/5 for 93 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ARIARI 2810195:25Punt
2JAXJAX 35922:25Touchdown +7
3ARIARI 239273:50Punt
4JAXJAX 83-10:54Defensive touchdown
5JAXJAX 3511314:31Field goal +3
6ARIARI 3511505:24Touchdown +7
7JAXJAX 35541:25Punt
8ARIARI 1316845:53Missed field goal
9JAXJAX 232-80:13End of half
10JAXJAX 435512:02Interception
11ARIARI 20462:03Punt
12JAXARI 277422:45Touchdown +7
13ARIARI 217-73:07Punt
14JAXJAX 23371:34Interception
15ARIJAX 394-81:54Punt
16JAXJAX 96212:59Punt
17ARIARI 225121:14Punt
18JAXJAX 17333:43Interception
19ARIJAX 414411:27Touchdown +7
20JAXJAX 358603:25Touchdown +7
21ARIARI 30581:49Turnover on downs
22JAXARI 28490:20Turnover on downs
23ARIARI 208641:35Field goal +3
24JAXJAX 35200:03Turnover on downs
25JAXJAX 356312:14Field goal +3
26ARIARI 289303:45Turnover on downs

8 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jaguars gained 92 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Trevor Lawrence18/30256333-9.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Travis Etienne15865.70-1.4
Trevor Lawrence5295.803.0
Bhayshul Tuten7172.40-3.0
LeQuint Allen Jr.122.00-0.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brenton Strange5593017%6.5
Parker Washington5771123%4.5
Jakobi Meyers4650120%-4.9
Travis Etienne3430113%2.4
Johnny Mundt121207%0.3
Bhayshul Tuten01003%-0.8
Tim Patrick040013%-5.5
Austin Trammell01003%-3.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Andrew Wingard820.001
Foye Oluokun550.000
Montaric Brown700.000
Jarrian Jones430.001
Dennis Gardeck331.500
Antonio Johnson501.001
Christian Braswell500.001
Devin Lloyd221.500
Josh Hines-Allen211.000
DaVon Hamilton121.000

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jacoby Brissett33/49317106-8.5
Kedon Slovis1/1-2000-1.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Michael Carter5285.601.7
Jacoby Brissett3206.702.1
Bam Knight10121.21-3.1
Greg Dortch2-5-2.50-1.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Michael Wilson1015118033%2.0
Trey McBride91079022%5.7
Greg Dortch6953120%-3.3
Michael Carter333007%2.4
Bam Knight4520011%-0.9
Xavier Weaver13907%-1.6
Josiah Deguara11602%0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jalen Thompson631.001
Budda Baker450.511
Akeem Davis-Gaither340.011
Zaven Collins520.000
Denzel Burke240.000
Cody Simon240.000
Calais Campbell120.501
Dante Stills210.000
BJ Ojulari210.000
Josh Sweat110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
JAX -2.5
Closing total
47.5
JAX moneyline
-135
ARI moneyline
+114

Jaguars closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 51 — over by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
JAX 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Liam Coen vs Jonathan Gannon