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2025 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · AT&T Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

21

Dallas CowboysWinner

24

PHI -3 upsetU 47.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 24–21 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 5:25, DAL +31% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DALPHI
Q4 · 5:25PHI 21DAL 21DAL ball · 4th & 13PHI 59%

(5:25) 5-B.Anger punts 58 yards to PHI 2, Center-44-T.Sieg. 87-X.Gipson to PHI 12 for 10 yards (38-A.Clark; 14-M.Bell). FUMBLES (38-A.Clark), touched at PHI 7, RECOVERED by DAL-44-T.Sieg at PHI 8. PHI-87-X.Gipson was inj

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 5:25DAL +31% win prob(5:25) 5-B.Anger punts 58 yards to PHI 2, Center-44-T.Sieg. 87-X.Gipson to PHI 12 for 10 yards (38-A.Clark; 14-M.Bell). FUMBLES (38-A.Clark), touched at PHI 7, RECOVERED by DAL-44-T.Sieg at PHI 8. PHI-87-X.Gipson was injured during the play.
  2. Q4 · 0:03DAL +23% win prob(:03) 17-B.Aubrey 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  3. Q4 · 2:00PHI +23% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts sacked at PHI 24 for -13 yards (97-O.Odighizuwa).
  4. Q4 · 0:45DAL +19% win prob(:45) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 3-G.Pickens to PHI 22 for 24 yards (21-S.Brown). PHI-24-A.Mukuba was injured during the play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:45PHI Touchdown

    (8:45) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 11-A.Brown for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-Q.Williams]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 7DAL 0
  2. Q1 · 1:02PHI Touchdown

    (1:02) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 14DAL 0
  3. Q2 · 11:35PHI Touchdown

    (11:35) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 21DAL 0
  4. Q2 · 0:24DAL Touchdown

    (:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 21DAL 7
  5. Q3 · 2:07DAL Touchdown

    (2:07) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN [3-N.Smith]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 21DAL 14
  6. Q4 · 11:48DAL Touchdown

    (11:48) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles left tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 21DAL 21
  7. Q4 · 0:03DAL Field goal

    (:03) 17-B.Aubrey 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: PHI 21DAL 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesCowboys
Offensive plays5865
Total yards339475 (edge)
Yards per play5.87.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.06 (edge)-0.02
Success rate41%43% (edge)
Dropback rate74%60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.110.14 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.07 (edge)-0.26
Third downs5/125/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)28 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1822 (edge)
Sacks taken11
Turnovers1 (edge)3

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

23/36, 354 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

4.6 expected points added · +1.5% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

27/39, 289 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

8.2 expected points added · +6.5% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Javonte WilliamsRB

20 att, 87 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

7 att, 33 yds, 2 TD

2.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

George PickensWR

9/9 for 146 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 11.9 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

8/10 for 110 yds, 1 TD

28% of team targets · 8.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 287223:09Turnover on downs
2PHI508503:10Touchdown +7
3DALDAL 19541:36Punt
4PHIPHI 2413616:08Touchdown +7
5DALDAL 356341:15Fumble
6PHIPHI 347763:10Touchdown +7
7DALDAL 4012646:31Interception
8PHIPHI 20482:09Punt
9DALDAL 287872:31Touchdown +7
10PHIPHI 28210:21End of half
11PHIPHI 32581:27Punt
12DALDAL 84-12:08Punt
13PHIPHI 307182:09Punt
14DALDAL 48632:42Missed field goal
15PHIPHI 41472:16Punt
16DALDAL 118732:16Touchdown +7
17PHIPHI 328453:53Missed field goal
18DALDAL 464541:29Touchdown +7
19PHIPHI 317434:12Fumble
20DALDAL 336172:19Punt
21DALPHI 8471:31Turnover on downs
22PHIPHI 26222:03Punt
23DALDAL 279511:35Field goal +3

7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 87 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts27/392891018.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jalen Hurts7334.722.5
Saquon Barkley10222.20-3.0
Tank Bigsby188.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown810110128%8.4
DeVonta Smith61189031%4.3
Saquon Barkley7852022%-2.4
Dallas Goedert222006%1.0
Grant Calcaterra11803%0.5
Darius Cooper22706%-1.0
Xavier Gipson11303%-0.3
Jahan Dotson01003%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zack Baun360.001
Reed Blankenship350.011
Cooper DeJean520.001
Jordan Davis150.000
Jalen Carter410.000
Nakobe Dean231.000
Sydney Brown320.000
Jalyx Hunt220.000
Adoree' Jackson300.000
Quinyon Mitchell210.001

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott23/363542114.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Javonte Williams20874.30-1.0
Malik Davis3248.000.3
Dak Prescott591.81-0.3
KaVontae Turpin242.00-5.4
Jake Ferguson111.00-0.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
George Pickens99146126%11.9
CeeDee Lamb41175031%-5.3
Jake Ferguson5660017%2.1
KaVontae Turpin124806%2.3
Javonte Williams231409%-3.6
Hunter Luepke11703%-0.8
Brevyn Spann-Ford11413%0.9
Luke Schoonmaker01003%-0.5
Ryan Flournoy01003%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -3
Closing total
47.5
PHI moneyline
-162
DAL moneyline
+136

Eagles closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 45 — under by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Bill Vinovich
Rest
PHI 7 days · DAL 6 days
Coaches
Nick Sirianni vs Brian Schottenheimer

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.