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2025 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · Nissan Stadium

Seattle SeahawksWinner

30

Tennessee Titans

24

SEA -12.5 no coverO 41.5 ✓

Seattle Seahawks 30–24. Biggest swing: Q2 11:11, TEN +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3TEN ↑SEA ↓
Q2 · 11:11SEA 9 — TEN 3SEA ball · 3rd & 6SEA 84%

(11:11) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 11:11TEN +8% win prob(11:11) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 6:54SEA +6% win prob(6:54) 1-C.Ward sacked at SEA 4 for -1 yards (52-P.O'Connell).
  3. Q2 · 12:55SEA +5% win prob(12:55) 3-J.Hekker punts 49 yards to SEA 13, Center-46-M.Cox. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 33 for 20 yards (36-J.Chestnut).
  4. Q1 · 1:08TEN +4% win prob(1:08) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 17-C.Dike pushed ob at TEN 35 for 25 yards (29-J.Jobe; 8-C.Bryant).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:53TEN Field goal

    (5:53) 6-J.Slye 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — TEN 3
  2. Q1 · 2:18SEA Field goal

    (2:18) 5-J.Myers 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — TEN 3
  3. Q2 · 11:11SEA Touchdown

    (11:11) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 10 — TEN 3
  4. Q2 · 4:48SEA Field goal

    (4:48) 5-J.Myers 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 13 — TEN 3
  5. Q2 · 0:04SEA Field goal

    (:04) 5-J.Myers 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 16 — TEN 3
  6. Q3 · 13:23SEA Touchdown

    (13:23) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 23 — TEN 3
  7. Q3 · 10:44TEN Touchdown

    (10:44) 4-M.Dickson punts 60 yards to TEN 10, Center-41-C.Stoll. 17-C.Dike for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 23 — TEN 10
  8. Q3 · 6:46SEA Touchdown

    (6:46) 26-Z.Charbonnet left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 30 — TEN 10
  9. Q3 · 1:23TEN Touchdown

    (1:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 30 — TEN 17
  10. Q4 · 0:47TEN Touchdown

    (:47) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 17-C.Dike for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 30 — TEN 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksTitans
Offensive plays4668
Total yards354 (edge)296
Yards per play7.7 (edge)4.4
Expected points added / play0.29 (edge)-0.01
Success rate50% (edge)35%
Dropback rate59%74%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.35 (edge)0.11
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.21 (edge)-0.33
Third downs2/76/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps1717
Sacks taken1 (edge)4
Turnovers00

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs -0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Cam WardQB

28/42, 256 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.1 expected points added · +4.9% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Sam DarnoldQB

16/26, 244 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.4 expected points added · +2.1% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth Walker IIIRB

11 att, 71 yds, 0 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Cam WardQB

6 att, 37 yds, 1 TD

6.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR

8/10 for 167 yds, 2 TD

40% of team targets · 13.9 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Gunnar HelmTE

6/7 for 51 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · -0.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1TENTEN 3316589:09Field goal +3
2SEASEA 279343:37Field goal +3
3TENTEN 38504:30Punt
4SEASEA 334721:42Touchdown +7
5TENTEN 155-92:14Punt
6SEATEN 268174:04Field goal +3
7TENTEN 278332:56Turnover on downs
8SEASEA 409481:48Field goal +3
9SEASEA 245761:41Touchdown +7
10TENTEN 275-51:43Punt
11SEASEA 22481:14Defensive touchdown
12SEASEA 268743:42Touchdown +7
13TENTEN 2711635:22Touchdown +7
14SEASEA 257293:01Turnover on downs
15TENTEN 4611447:06Turnover on downs
16SEASEA 204-41:03Punt
17TENTEN 3816624:25Touchdown +7
18SEATEN 43200:43End of game

9 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 76 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Sam Darnold16/262442019.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kenneth Walker III11716.500.5
Zach Charbonnet6355.813.4
Rashid Shaheed155.000.1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba144.00-0.1
Sam Darnold1-1-1.00-1.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba810167240%13.9
Kenneth Walker III3430016%-0.3
Cooper Kupp2424016%-0.8
AJ Barner2418016%0.3
Elijah Arroyo11504%0.3
Rashid Shaheed02008%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Drake Thomas640.000
Patrick O'Connell451.000
Nick Emmanwori620.000
Byron Murphy II321.000
D'Anthony Bell220.000
Devon Witherspoon220.002
Leonard Williams311.000
Coby Bryant210.000
Derick Hall211.001
Josh Jobe210.000

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cam Ward28/422561042.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cam Ward6376.216.5
Tony Pollard11201.80-5.4
Tyjae Spears341.30-1.5
Julius Chestnut231.50-2.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Gunnar Helm6751018%-0.0
Chimere Dike5744118%1.0
James Proche334208%5.0
Chig Okonkwo3440011%2.3
Xavier Restrepo2626016%1.6
Tony Pollard4521013%-1.1
Tyjae Spears4521013%0.5
Van Jefferson111103%2.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kevin Winston Jr.640.000
Cedric Gray610.000
Jalyn Armour-Davis310.000
Cody Barton120.000
Julius Chestnut110.000
Amani Hooker200.000
Arden Key201.000
Mike Brown200.000
Jeffery Simmons110.000
Sebastian Joseph-Day110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -12.5
Closing total
41.5
SEA moneyline
-950
TEN moneyline
+625

Seahawks closed -12.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 54 — over by 12.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
55°F, wind 1 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
SEA 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches
Mike Macdonald vs Brian Callahan