For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2025 Week 13 · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · MetLife Stadium

Atlanta Falcons

24

New York JetsWinner

27

ATL -3 upsetO 38.5 ✓

New York Jets 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:05, NYJ +29% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYJ ↑ATL ↓
Q4 · 0:05ATL 24 — NYJ 27NYJ ball · 3rd & 15NYJ 71%

(:05) 6-N.Folk 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:05NYJ +29% win prob(:05) 6-N.Folk 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
  2. Q4 · 0:44ATL +18% win prob(:44) 13-B.Pinion punts 40 yards to NYJ 27, Center-49-L.McCullough. 18-I.Williams to NYJ 43 for 16 yards (49-L.McCullough; 40-J.Bertrand).
  3. Q3 · 9:05NYJ +17% win prob(9:05) 2-T.Taylor pass deep left to 15-A.Mitchell for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 8:52NYJ +17% win prob(8:52) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-D.Sills for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 14:00NYJ Touchdown

    (14:00) (Shotgun) 20-B.Hall up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: ATL-93-K.Street has returned to the game. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ATL 0 — NYJ 7
  2. Q2 · 0:15ATL Touchdown

    (:15) (Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ATL 7 — NYJ 7
  3. Q3 · 9:41ATL Touchdown

    (9:41) 7-B.Robinson left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ATL 14 — NYJ 7
  4. Q3 · 9:05NYJ Touchdown

    (9:05) 2-T.Taylor pass deep left to 15-A.Mitchell for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ATL 14 — NYJ 14
  5. Q3 · 0:02ATL Field goal

    (:02) 45-Z.Gonzalez 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.

    Score after this play: ATL 17 — NYJ 14
  6. Q4 · 13:26NYJ Field goal

    (13:26) 6-N.Folk 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.

    Score after this play: ATL 17 — NYJ 17
  7. Q4 · 8:52ATL Touchdown

    (8:52) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-D.Sills for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ATL 24 — NYJ 17
  8. Q4 · 2:00NYJ Touchdown

    (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor scrambles up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ATL 24 — NYJ 24
  9. Q4 · 0:05NYJ Field goal

    (:05) 6-N.Folk 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.

    Score after this play: ATL 24 — NYJ 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricFalconsJets
Offensive plays6762
Total yards389 (edge)270
Yards per play5.8 (edge)4.4
Expected points added / play0.17 (edge)0.01
Success rate52% (edge)45%
Dropback rate52%66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.17 (edge)0.04
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.18 (edge)-0.05
Third downs4/127/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)9 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)15
Sacks taken22
Turnovers00

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ATL

Kirk CousinsQB

21/33, 234 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

5.9 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Tyrod TaylorQB

19/33, 172 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-1.0 expected points added · -1.6% completion over expected

Rushing · ATL

Bijan RobinsonRB

23 att, 142 yds, 1 TD

6.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

19 att, 68 yds, 1 TD

-1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Adonai MitchellWR

8/12 for 102 yds, 1 TD

39% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · ATL

Kyle PittsTE

7/8 for 82 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 7.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ATLATL 247253:17Punt
2NYJNYJ 158424:33Punt
3ATLATL 109404:19Punt
4NYJNYJ 59243:51Punt
5NYJATL 2220:02Touchdown +7
6ATLATL 286223:06Punt
7NYJNYJ 18461:28Punt
8ATLATL 238283:43Punt
9NYJNYJ 194-22:31Punt
10ATLATL 3811573:01Touchdown +7
11NYJNYJ 35200:09End of half
12NYJNYJ 35551:16Punt
13ATLATL 59814:08Touchdown +7
14NYJNYJ 354650:38Touchdown +7
15ATLATL 289404:11Missed field goal
16NYJNYJ 409243:03Missed field goal
17ATLATL 455211:44Field goal +3
18NYJATL 15561:37Field goal +3
19ATLATL 2610744:37Touchdown +7
20NYJNYJ 3517706:53Touchdown +7
21ATLATL 30510:27Punt
22NYJNYJ 144-10:29Punt
23ATLATL 33400:22Punt
24NYJNYJ 437290:35Field goal +3

9 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Falcons gained 81 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kirk Cousins21/332341025.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Bijan Robinson231426.216.4
Tyler Allgeier8202.51-1.0
Deven Thompkins155.000.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Kyle Pitts7882026%7.5
Bijan Robinson5751023%0.7
Tyler Allgeier223506%1.7
Darnell Mooney2525016%0.0
Deven Thompkins222306%1.0
David Sills2415113%2.9
Dylan Drummond133010%-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kaden Elliss440.000
Divine Deablo610.000
Mike Hughes500.000
Dee Alford410.001
Jessie Bates310.000
A.J. Terrell120.001
James Pearce Jr.201.000
Leonard Floyd111.000
Arnold Ebiketie110.000
Xavier Watts110.001

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor19/33172102-1.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Breece Hall19683.61-1.3
Tyrod Taylor8445.514.1
John Metchie III1-2-2.00-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Adonai Mitchell812102139%4.8
Mason Taylor2421013%0.1
John Metchie III4819026%-4.7
Jeremy Ruckert221206%0.3
Allen Lazard111003%1.9
Breece Hall22806%0.3
Isaiah Davis01003%-1.1
Isaiah Williams01003%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Malachi Moore640.000
Isaiah Oliver540.001
Quincy Williams440.002
Tony Adams321.000
Azareye'h Thomas230.001
Jermaine Johnson II320.000
Marcelino McCrary-Ball230.000
Will McDonald IV310.000
Jamien Sherwood130.001
Brandon Stephens120.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ATL -3
Closing total
38.5
ATL moneyline
-166
NYJ moneyline
+140

Falcons closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 51 — over by 12.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
43°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
ATL 7 days · NYJ 7 days
Coaches
Raheem Morris vs Aaron Glenn