For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2025 Week 13 · Fri, Nov 28, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field

Chicago BearsWinner

24

Philadelphia Eagles

15

PHI -7 upsetU 43.5 ✓18 mph wind

Chicago Bears 24–15. Biggest swing: Q3 6:44, CHI +23% win probability on one snap. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑CHI ↓
Q3 · 6:44CHI 10 — PHI 9CHI ball · 2nd & 1CHI 54%

(6:44) 18-C.Williams pass short left intended for 25-K.Monangai INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hunt at CHI 47. 58-J.Hunt to CHI 36 for 11 yards (18-C.Williams).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 6:44CHI +23% win prob(6:44) 18-C.Williams pass short left intended for 25-K.Monangai INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hunt at CHI 47. 58-J.Hunt to CHI 36 for 11 yards (18-C.Williams).
  2. Q3 · 4:46CHI +19% win prob(4:46) 1-J.Hurts up the middle to CHI 11 for 1 yard (26-N.Wright). FUMBLES (26-N.Wright), RECOVERED by CHI-26-N.Wright at CHI 13.
  3. Q3 · 8:11PHI +13% win prob(8:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q3 · 11:40CHI +10% win prob(11:40) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right intended for 11-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard at CHI 49. 31-K.Byard ran ob at CHI 49 for no gain.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 1:35CHI Touchdown

    (1:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Swift right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — PHI 0
  2. Q2 · 13:08PHI Field goal

    (13:08) 4-J.Elliott 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — PHI 3
  3. Q2 · 6:47CHI Field goal

    (6:47) 8-C.Santos 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 10 — PHI 3
  4. Q3 · 8:11PHI Touchdown

    (8:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CHI 10 — PHI 9
  5. Q4 · 12:53CHI Touchdown

    (12:53) 25-K.Monangai up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 17 — PHI 9
  6. Q4 · 6:26CHI Touchdown

    (6:26) 18-C.Williams pass deep middle to 85-C.Kmet for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 24 — PHI 9
  7. Q4 · 3:14PHI Touchdown

    (3:14) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 11-A.Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CHI 24 — PHI 15

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsEagles
Offensive plays8450
Total yards426 (edge)317
Yards per play5.16.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.04 (edge)-0.04
Success rate44% (edge)44%
Dropback rate48%66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.130.08 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.20 (edge)-0.26
Third downs10/17 (edge)4/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps27 (edge)14
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.04.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

19/34, 230 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

2.2 expected points added · +0.6% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

17/36, 154 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-6.0 expected points added · -12.5% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

Kyle MonangaiRB

22 att, 130 yds, 1 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

18 att, 125 yds, 1 TD

5.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

10/12 for 132 yds, 2 TD

40% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

5/8 for 48 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CHICHI 3312425:26Turnover on downs
2PHIPHI 256202:37Punt
3CHICHI 2212785:26Touchdown +7
4PHIPHI 358443:27Field goal +3
5CHICHI 2016686:20Field goal +3
6PHIPHI 30571:45Punt
7CHICHI 20632:12Punt
8PHIPHI 354121:11Punt
9CHICHI 196311:36End of half
10PHIPHI 27511:11Punt
11CHICHI 245151:29Punt
12PHIPHI 26200:48Interception
13CHICHI 49471:33Punt
14PHIPHI 86771:54Touchdown +6
15CHICHI 364141:29Interception
16PHICHI 364232:03Fumble
17CHICHI 1313926:44Touchdown +7
18PHIPHI 21571:34Punt
19CHICHI 379634:56Touchdown +7
20PHIPHI 2014803:09Touchdown +6
21CHIPHI 478131:58Turnover on downs
22PHIPHI 306461:03Missed field goal
23CHICHI 42100:09End of game

7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 92 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Caleb Williams17/36154112-6.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyle Monangai221305.912.0
D'Andre Swift181256.915.1
Caleb Williams5132.601.9
DJ Moore11010.000.8
Luther Burden III133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cole Kmet333619%3.8
Luther Burden III4633019%-1.7
Colston Loveland3628019%3.2
Olamide Zaccheaus231909%2.7
DJ Moore2517016%0.9
D'Andre Swift121306%0.4
Rome Odunze268019%-2.4
Kyle Monangai01003%-6.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kevin Byard420.011
Jaquan Brisker510.001
Nahshon Wright410.000
D'Marco Jackson230.000
Austin Booker120.000
C.J. Gardner-Johnson210.000
Grady Jarrett110.000
Amen Ogbongbemiga200.001
Caleb Williams100.000
Jaylon Johnson100.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts19/342302102.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley13564.30-1.0
Jalen Hurts4317.80-3.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown1012132240%6.6
DeVonta Smith5848027%2.6
Dallas Goedert2427013%-1.9
Jahan Dotson1312010%-0.5
Will Shipley111103%-0.2
Saquon Barkley02007%-2.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Reed Blankenship860.000
Nakobe Dean570.001
Jordan Davis540.000
Zack Baun350.000
Sydney Brown330.000
Cooper DeJean230.001
Adoree' Jackson410.000
Jaelan Phillips220.001
Moro Ojomo310.000
Jalen Carter311.002

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -7
Closing total
43.5
CHI moneyline
+270
PHI moneyline
-340

Eagles closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 39 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
42°F, wind 18 mph
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
CHI 5 days · PHI 5 days
Coaches
Ben Johnson vs Nick Sirianni

Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.