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2025 Week 13 · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · FedExField
27
26
Denver Broncos 27–26 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 3:58, WAS +43% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(3:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep right to 1-D.Samuel to DEN 2 for 38 yards (21-R.Moss).
How the points landed
(10:31) 3-W.Lutz 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
Score after this play: DEN 3 — WAS 0(7:54) 3-W.Lutz 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
Score after this play: DEN 6 — WAS 0(2:25) (Shotgun) 36-C.Rodriguez up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 6 — WAS 7(:28) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 14-C.Sutton for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-P.Smith]. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 13 — WAS 7(10:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 13-T.Burks for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 13 — WAS 14(4:02) 73-F.Crum reported in as eligible. 12-R.Harvey left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 20 — WAS 14(12:40) 16-J.Moody 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-10-T.Way.
Score after this play: DEN 20 — WAS 17(:04) 16-J.Moody 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-10-T.Way.
Score after this play: DEN 20 — WAS 20(7:03) 12-R.Harvey left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 27 — WAS 20(2:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DEN 27 — WAS 26Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Broncos | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 69 | 85 |
| Total yards | 402 | 420 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.8 (edge) | 4.9 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.18 (edge) | 0.07 |
| Success rate | 45% (edge) | 41% |
| Dropback rate | 70% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.24 (edge) | 0.05 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.05 | 0.13 (edge) |
| Third downs | 7/15 | 8/17 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 23 | 28 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.18 expected points added per play vs 0.07.
Who moved the needle
Passing · DEN
Bo NixQB
29/45, 321 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
9.9 expected points added · -4.0% completion over expected
Passing · WAS
28/50, 294 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
-0.3 expected points added · +3.2% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 26 | 12 | 59 | 4:32 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | WAS | WAS 21 | 12 | 35 | 5:52 | Punt | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 11 | 4 | 6 | 1:39 | Punt | |
| 4 | WAS | WAS 42 | 9 | 39 | 3:36 | Interception | |
| 5 | DEN | DEN 34 | 13 | 56 | 6:30 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | WAS | WAS 29 | 13 | 69 | 5:30 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 36 | 12 | 64 | 1:58 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | WAS | WAS 35 | 2 | 0 | 0:23 | End of half | |
| 9 | WAS | WAS 28 | 12 | 72 | 5:02 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 28 | 13 | 82 | 5:59 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | WAS | WAS 31 | 7 | 20 | 3:15 | Punt | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 14 | 5 | 19 | 1:38 | Interception | |
| 13 | WAS | DEN 36 | 5 | 16 | 1:29 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | DEN | DEN 29 | 5 | 1 | 2:25 | Punt | |
| 15 | WAS | WAS 27 | 4 | 8 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 20 | 8 | 33 | 4:00 | Punt | |
| 17 | WAS | WAS 20 | 5 | 5 | 1:11 | Punt | |
| 18 | DEN | DEN 29 | 4 | 6 | 0:31 | Punt | |
| 19 | WAS | WAS 15 | 18 | 86 | 3:00 | Field goal +3 | |
| 20 | DEN | DEN 24 | 7 | 76 | 3:01 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | WAS | WAS 35 | 13 | 70 | 4:12 | Touchdown +6 |
10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 86 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 29/45 | 321 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Harvey | 13 | 35 | 2.7 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 6 | 24 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Bo Nix | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 1.8 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Adam Prentice | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 6 | 9 | 79 | 0 | 21% | 1.8 |
| Courtland Sutton | 5 | 6 | 62 | 1 | 14% | 6.4 |
| Adam Trautman | 3 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 9% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talanoa Hufanga | 10 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Jones | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Singleton | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ja'Quan McMillian |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Mariota | 28/50 | 294 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Mariota | 10 | 55 | 5.5 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Broncos closed -6.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 53 — over by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
| 5.0 |
| Pat Bryant | 3 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 16% | -2.2 |
| RJ Harvey | 3 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 9% | 1.0 |
| Troy Franklin | 2 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 7% | -0.1 |
| Tyler Badie | 3 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 12% | -0.2 |
| Adam Prentice | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2% | 1.8 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5% | 0.4 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2% | -0.3 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.5 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Jonathon Cooper | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dre Greenlaw | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malcolm Roach | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Surtain II | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dondrea Tillman | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Moss | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4.4 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 11 | 41 | 3.7 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Jeremy McNichols | 6 | 30 | 5.0 | 0 | 3.4 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Ertz | 10 | 13 | 106 | 0 | 29% | 3.6 |
| Terry McLaurin | 7 | 14 | 96 | 1 | 31% | 5.9 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | 5 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 16% | 3.4 |
| Colson Yankoff | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2% | 1.0 |
| John Bates | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4% | -0.4 |
| Treylon Burks | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9% | 1.3 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -5.8 |
| Jeremy McNichols | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -2.3 |
| Jaylin Lane | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -1.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Wagner | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jeremy Reaves | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Quan Martin | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Sainristil | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Harris | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Noah Igbinoghene | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Magee | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Jones | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daron Payne | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frankie Luvu | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
