For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2025 Week 13 · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · Nissan Stadium
25
3
Jacksonville Jaguars 25–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 3:25, TEN +9% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(3:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 3-J.Meyers to TEN 6 for 50 yards (33-C.Gray).
How the points landed
(5:08) 6-J.Slye 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.
Score after this play: JAX 0 — TEN 3(1:06) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 3-J.Meyers for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 7 — TEN 3(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 85-B.Strange for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: JAX 15 — TEN 3(:00) 39-C.Little 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-52-D.Hamilton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Score after this play: JAX 18 — TEN 3(6:49) 33-B.Tuten up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 25 — TEN 3Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Jaguars | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 54 | 55 |
| Total yards | 275 (edge) | 188 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 (edge) | 3.4 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.01 (edge) | -0.42 |
| Success rate | 39% (edge) | 25% |
| Dropback rate | 59% | 76% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 (edge) | -0.55 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.24 | -0.02 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/12 (edge) | 2/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 (edge) | 9 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Jaguars won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.42.
Who moved the needle
Passing · JAX
16/27, 229 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
4.9 expected points added · +4.2% completion over expected
Passing · TEN
Cam WardQB
24/38, 141 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-20.4 expected points added · -1.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | JAX 34 | 7 | 22 | 3:56 | Punt | |
| 2 | TEN | TEN 20 | 11 | 70 | 5:58 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | JAX | JAX 16 | 9 | 84 | 4:02 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | TEN | — | 1 | 0 | 0:06 | Fumble | |
| 5 | JAX | TEN 35 | 3 | 35 | 1:04 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 6 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | -5 | 2:26 | Punt | |
| 7 | JAX | JAX 29 | 4 | 5 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 8 | TEN | TEN 28 | 4 | 7 | 1:44 | Punt | |
| 9 | JAX | JAX 20 | 4 | 3 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 10 | TEN | TEN 41 | 4 | 7 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 11 | JAX | JAX 20 | 4 | 0 | 2:47 | Punt | |
| 12 | TEN | JAX 42 | 7 | 26 | 2:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | JAX | JAX 21 | 4 | 37 | 0:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | TEN | TEN 19 | 5 | 9 | 1:39 | Punt | |
| 15 | JAX | JAX 29 | 16 | 56 | 6:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | TEN | TEN 32 | 7 | 17 | 3:38 | Punt | |
| 17 | JAX | JAX 23 | 7 | 26 | 4:01 | Punt | |
| 18 | TEN | JAX 38 | 4 | 4 | 0:51 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | JAX | JAX 34 | 4 | 5 | 1:46 | Punt | |
| 20 | TEN | TEN 35 | 9 | 12 | 4:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | JAX | JAX 48 | 4 | 2 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 22 | TEN | TEN 5 | 8 | 41 | 3:31 | Fumble | |
| 23 | JAX | TEN 46 | 3 | 0 | 1:49 | End of game |
5 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jaguars gained 84 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 16/27 | 229 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 12 | 28 | 2.3 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 8 | 17 | 2.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Nick Mullens | 3 | -3 | -1.0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 6 | 6 | 90 | 1 | 24% | 8.1 |
| Brenton Strange | 3 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 16% | 2.1 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 12% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Lloyd | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montaric Brown | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Striggow | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Foye Oluokun |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward | 24/38 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -20.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 10 | 60 | 6.0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Jaguars closed -6 and covered, winning by 22.
Total closed 42.5; the game landed 28 — under by 14.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 3.1 |
| Parker Washington | 1 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 12% | 0.6 |
| Quintin Morris | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 8% | 0.1 |
| Travis Etienne | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 4% | 0.9 |
| Tim Patrick | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4% | 1.1 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Austin Trammell | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16% | -3.1 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Antonio Johnson | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarrian Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Wingard | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Josh Hines-Allen | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ross Matiscik | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ventrell Miller | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.8 |
| Cam Ward | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Chimere Dike | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Tyjae Spears | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chig Okonkwo | 4 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 14% | -0.8 |
| Tyjae Spears | 6 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 17% | 0.7 |
| Gunnar Helm | 6 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 20% | -4.1 |
| Van Jefferson | 3 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 11% | -0.5 |
| Xavier Restrepo | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3% | 1.4 |
| James Proche | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 0.4 |
| Chimere Dike | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 11% | -2.2 |
| Elic Ayomanor | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14% | -5.1 |
| Tony Pollard | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6% | -7.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Gray | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Winston Jr. | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeffery Simmons | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Harris | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amani Hooker | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrell Baker Jr. | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| T'Vondre Sweat | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sebastian Joseph-Day | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jihad Ward | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Woods | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
