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2025 Week 13 · Thu, Nov 27, 2025 · AT&T Stadium

Kansas City Chiefs

28

Dallas CowboysWinner

31

KC -3.5 upsetO 53.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 31–28 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 13:21, DAL +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑KC ↓
Q4 · 13:21KC 21 — DAL 20DAL ball · 3rd & 8KC 59%

(13:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to KC 6 for 39 yards (22-T.McDuffie).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 13:21DAL +18% win prob(13:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to KC 6 for 39 yards (22-T.McDuffie).
  2. Q4 · 14:56DAL +18% win prob(14:56) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 11:21DAL +14% win prob(11:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q2 · 3:17DAL +13% win prob(3:17) (Shotgun) 43-M.Davis up the middle for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 13:10KC Touchdown

    (13:10) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 7 — DAL 0
  2. Q1 · 6:55DAL Touchdown

    (6:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-G.Karlaftis]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 7 — DAL 7
  3. Q1 · 0:05KC Touchdown

    (:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 14 — DAL 7
  4. Q2 · 10:27DAL Field goal

    (10:27) 17-B.Aubrey 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: KC 14 — DAL 10
  5. Q2 · 3:17DAL Touchdown

    (3:17) (Shotgun) 43-M.Davis up the middle for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 14 — DAL 17
  6. Q3 · 4:13DAL Field goal

    (4:13) 17-B.Aubrey 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: KC 14 — DAL 20
  7. Q4 · 14:56KC Touchdown

    (14:56) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 21 — DAL 20
  8. Q4 · 11:21DAL Touchdown

    (11:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: KC 21 — DAL 28
  9. Q4 · 5:20DAL Field goal

    (5:20) 17-B.Aubrey 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: KC 21 — DAL 31
  10. Q4 · 3:30KC Touchdown

    (3:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 5-M.Brown for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN [41-D.Ezeiruaku]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 28 — DAL 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChiefsCowboys
Offensive plays6062
Total yards362459 (edge)
Yards per play6.07.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.25 (edge)0.22
Success rate45%45% (edge)
Dropback rate67%63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.45 (edge)0.37
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.15-0.04 (edge)
Third downs5/139/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)9 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps19 (edge)18
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

27/39, 320 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

14.6 expected points added · +4.8% completion over expected

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

23/34, 261 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

14.2 expected points added · +4.7% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Javonte WilliamsRB

17 att, 59 yds, 0 TD

-5.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Kareem HuntRB

14 att, 58 yds, 0 TD

-3.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

7/9 for 112 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 8.8 expected points added

Receiving · KC

Rashee RiceWR

8/12 for 92 yds, 2 TD

38% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 27461:20Interception
2KCDAL 373370:36Touchdown +7
3DALDAL 2514806:14Touchdown +7
4KCKC 2814726:49Touchdown +7
5DALDAL 1611534:39Field goal +3
6KCKC 249394:19Punt
7DALDAL 159852:53Touchdown +7
8KCKC 3210212:58Punt
9DALDAL 14180:12End of half
10KCKC 465152:42Punt
11DALDAL 3481:27Punt
12KCKC 378193:46Punt
13DALDAL 47462:56Field goal +3
14KCKC 2013804:18Touchdown +7
15DALDAL 329683:36Touchdown +8
16KCKC 395121:49Punt
17DALDAL 108814:10Field goal +3
18KCKC 339671:49Touchdown +7
19DALDAL 329243:27End of game

10 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Patrick Mahomes23/3426140314.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kareem Hunt14584.10-3.1
Patrick Mahomes33010.003.8
Isiah Pacheco3165.300.5
Xavier Worthy2136.500.0
Rashee Rice122.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rashee Rice81292238%3.6
Xavier Worthy4661019%3.0
Travis Kelce5645119%5.5
Kareem Hunt122206%2.0
Marquise Brown222016%3.2
Isiah Pacheco221706%-0.3
Jared Wiley11403%2.6
JuJu Smith-Schuster01003%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nick Bolton550.002
Chamarri Conner720.000
Trent McDuffie430.000
Jaylen Watson600.011
Jaden Hicks410.002
Drue Tranquill230.000
Mike Edwards220.001
Chris Jones220.000
Ashton Gillotte130.000
Leo Chenal120.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott27/3932021014.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Javonte Williams17593.50-5.5
Malik Davis34715.713.0
KaVontae Turpin33311.001.5
Dak Prescott3-2-0.70-2.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb79112124%8.8
George Pickens61388035%-2.4
Jake Ferguson5636016%4.6
Ryan Flournoy333408%1.7
KaVontae Turpin222805%1.9
Javonte Williams332118%2.9
Luke Schoonmaker11103%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Shavon Revel Jr.240.000
DeMarvion Overshown240.000
Jadeveon Clowney512.000
Logan Wilson320.000
Donovan Wilson230.000
Sam Williams220.000
Reddy Steward220.001
Quinnen Williams130.000
DaRon Bland300.000
Trikweze Bridges210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
KC -3.5
Closing total
53.5
KC moneyline
-185
DAL moneyline
+154

Chiefs closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 53.5; the game landed 59 — over by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
KC 4 days · DAL 4 days
Coaches
Andy Reid vs Brian Schottenheimer