2025 Week 13 · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · Bank of America Stadium
Los Angeles Rams
28
Carolina PanthersWinner
31
Carolina Panthers 31–28 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 6:43, CAR +30% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(6:43) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 6:43CAR +30% win prob(6:43) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 2:34LA +30% win prob(2:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at CAR 31 for -9 yards (95-D.Brown). FUMBLES (95-D.Brown) [95-D.Brown], RECOVERED by CAR-98-D.Wonnum at CAR 30. 98-D.Wonnum to CAR 49 for 19 yards (15-K.Mumpfield). PENALTY on CAR, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 49.
- Q3 · 8:54CAR +21% win prob(8:54) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 18-J.Coker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 1:20LA +19% win prob(1:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 12-P.Nacua INTERCEPTED by 2-M.Jackson at LA 48. 2-M.Jackson for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 12:13LA Touchdown
(12:13) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 7 — CAR 0 - Q1 · 7:46CAR Touchdown
(7:46) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 30-C.Hubbard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 7 — CAR 7 - Q1 · 1:20CAR Touchdown
(1:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 12-P.Nacua INTERCEPTED by 2-M.Jackson at LA 48. 2-M.Jackson for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 7 — CAR 14 - Q2 · 12:54LA Touchdown
(12:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 14 — CAR 14 - Q2 · 5:38CAR Field goal
(5:38) 10-R.Fitzgerald 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
Score after this play: LA 14 — CAR 17 - Q2 · 2:00LA Touchdown
(2:00) 22-B.Corum up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-11-N.Scourton, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 21 — CAR 17 - Q3 · 8:54CAR Touchdown
(8:54) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 18-J.Coker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 21 — CAR 24 - Q4 · 10:03LA Touchdown
(10:03) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 28 — CAR 24 - Q4 · 6:43CAR Touchdown
(6:43) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 28 — CAR 31
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Rams | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 50 | 59 |
| Total yards | 380 (edge) | 362 |
| Yards per play | 7.6 (edge) | 6.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.14 | 0.24 (edge) |
| Success rate | 60% (edge) | 41% |
| Dropback rate | 60% | 41% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 | 0.63 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.53 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Third downs | 2/5 | 7/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 (edge) |
Rams outgained Panthers 380–362 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LA
18/28, 243 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
-3.5 expected points added · +3.4% completion over expected
Passing · CAR
15/20, 206 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
14.3 expected points added · +8.8% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | CAR 35 | 8 | 35 | 2:50 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | CAR | CAR 31 | 11 | 69 | 4:32 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | LA | LA 32 | 8 | 60 | 3:36 | Interception | |
| 4 | CAR | CAR 20 | 4 | 7 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 5 | LA | LA 28 | 4 | 13 | 1:27 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 6 | LA | LA 36 | 9 | 64 | 3:24 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | CAR | CAR 26 | 13 | 70 | 7:13 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | LA | LA 20 | 9 | 75 | 3:38 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | CAR | CAR 34 | 7 | 18 | 1:41 | Punt | |
| 10 | LA | LA 9 | 1 | 0 | 0:14 | End of half | |
| 11 | CAR | CAR 29 | 12 | 71 | 6:12 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | LA | LA 28 | 5 | -3 | 1:50 | Punt | |
| 13 | CAR | CAR 24 | 13 | 47 | 8:24 | Punt | |
| 14 | LA | LA 11 | 7 | 89 | 3:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | CAR | CAR 35 | 8 | 65 | 3:24 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | LA | LA 28 | 11 | 47 | 4:09 | Fumble | |
| 17 | CAR | CAR 34 | 6 | 15 | 2:25 | End of game |
8 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 89 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Los Angeles Rams
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 18/28 | 243 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Corum | 7 | 81 | 11.6 | 1 | 6.3 |
| Kyren Williams | 13 | 72 | 5.5 | 1 | 4.2 |
| Matthew Stafford | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Smith | 3 | 3 | 82 | 0 | 11% | 5.4 |
| Puka Nacua | 6 | 9 | 72 | 0 | 33% | -2.7 |
| Davante Adams | 4 | 5 | 58 | 2 | 19% | 7.1 |
| Colby Parkinson | 4 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 19% | -3.8 |
| Davis Allen | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Kyren Williams | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Terrance Ferguson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -0.9 |
| Jordan Whittington | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Landman | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Byron Young | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Omar Speights | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamren Kinchens | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Braden Fiske | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Davis | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen McCollough | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobie Turner | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Poona Ford | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Verse | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Carolina Panthers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young | 15/20 | 206 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard | 17 | 83 | 4.9 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Rico Dowdle | 18 | 58 | 3.2 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Bryce Young | 5 | 23 | 4.6 | 0 | 0.8 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Coker | 4 | 6 | 74 | 1 | 30% | 7.6 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 1 | 2 | 43 | 1 | 10% | 5.7 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 2 | 2 | 41 | 1 | 10% | 4.3 |
| Rico Dowdle | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 10% | 0.7 |
| Mitchell Evans | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 15% | 1.1 |
| Trevor Etienne | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5% | -0.0 |
| Tommy Tremble | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10% | -2.1 |
| Xavier Legette | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10% | -0.8 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lathan Ransom | 2 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Scott | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Trevin Wallace | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chau Smith-Wade | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| A'Shawn Robinson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Demani Richardson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Brown | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brycen Tremayne | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Fitzgerald | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Rochell | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LA -10
- Closing total
- 44.5
- LA moneyline
- -575
- CAR moneyline
- +425
Rams closed -10 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 59 — over by 14.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Bank of America Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 45°F, wind 3 mph
- Referee
- Scott Novak
- Rest
- LA 7 days · CAR 6 days
- Coaches
- Sean McVay vs Dave Canales