2025 Week 13 · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · SoFi Stadium

Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

LAC -10 ✓O 40.5 ✓DomeChargers closed -10 and covered, winning by 17.

Los Angeles Chargers 31–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 14:13, LAC +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 14:13LV 7 — LAC 13LAC ball · 3rd & 2LAC 75%

(14:13) (Shotgun) 30-K.Vidal left end for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 14:13LAC +11% win prob(14:13) (Shotgun) 30-K.Vidal left end for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 1:54LAC +8% win prob(1:54) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 6:37LV +6% win prob(6:37) (Shotgun) 30-K.Vidal left guard to LV 18 for no gain (45-D.White; 69-A.Butler).
Q2 · 8:39LV +5% win prob(8:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 36-K.Kelly at LV 2. 36-K.Kelly ran ob at LV 2 for no gain.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 4:28LAC Touchdown
(4:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 1-Q.Johnston for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 0 — LAC 7
Q2 · 1:54LV Touchdown
(1:54) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 7
Q3 · 14:13LAC Touchdown
(14:13) (Shotgun) 30-K.Vidal left end for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 14
Q3 · 2:30LAC Touchdown
(2:30) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 15-L.McConkey for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-E.Roberts]. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 21
Q4 · 14:54LAC Field goal
(14:54) 11-C.Dicker 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 24
Q4 · 7:52LV Touchdown
(7:52) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 89-B.Bowers for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 14 — LAC 24
Q4 · 2:00LAC Touchdown
(2:00) (Shotgun) 32-J.Patterson left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 14 — LAC 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Raiders	Chargers
Offensive plays	45	65
Total yards	157	343 (edge)
Yards per play	3.5	5.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.33	0.14 (edge)
Success rate	42% (edge)	42%
Dropback rate	62%	43%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08	0.27 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.75	0.04 (edge)
Third downs	2/8	12/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	2	3 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	10	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	3 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.33.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LV

Geno SmithQB

18/23, 165 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-2.1 expected points added · +12.2% completion over expected

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

15/20, 151 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

7.3 expected points added · +10.8% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Kimani VidalRB

25 att, 126 yds, 1 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Jaret PattersonRB

11 att, 54 yds, 1 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Brock BowersTE

4/4 for 63 yds, 2 TD

18% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Ladd McConkeyWR

4/6 for 39 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · -1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LV	LV 37	5	-3	1:49	Punt
2	LAC	LAC 26	15	69	8:50	Touchdown +7
3	LV	LV 28	6	19	2:33	Punt
4	LAC	LAC 7	14	72	8:13	Interception
5	LV	LV 2	2	1	0:47	Interception
6	LAC	LV 27	4	9	1:16	Turnover on downs
7	LV	LV 18	10	69	4:42	Touchdown +7
8	LAC	LAC 34	5	9	1:30	Punt
9	LV	LV 20	1	0	0:20	End of half
10	LAC	LAC 33	5	67	0:57	Touchdown +7
11	LV	LV 35	5	1	2:07	Punt
12	LAC	LAC 14	4	0	2:19	Punt
13	LV	LV 30	4	-3	2:12	Punt
14	LAC	LAC 40	9	60	5:02	Touchdown +7
15	LV	LV 34	5	8	1:32	Turnover on downs
16	LAC	LV 42	4	4	1:02	Field goal +3
17	LV	LV 35	15	62	7:00	Touchdown +7
18	LAC	LAC 32	15	53	5:54	Touchdown +7
19	LV	LV 34	5	3	1:10	Turnover on downs
20	LAC	LV 37	2	0	0:45	End of game

7 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 72 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a interception.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Geno Smith	18/23	165	2	1	5	-2.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ashton Jeanty	15	31	2.1	-9.5
Raheem Mostert	1	6	6.0	-2.1
Geno Smith	2	-6	-3.0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Brock Bowers	4	4	63	2	18%	8.2
Ashton Jeanty	6	8	30	0	36%	-0.4
Jack Bech	2	3	22	0	14%	0.2
Tre Tucker	3	3	20	0	14%	0.8
Tyler Lockett	1	1	11	0	5%	1.8
Dont'e Thornton Jr.	1	2	11	0	9%	-2.0
Ian Thomas	1	1	8	0	5%	0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Jeremy Chinn	8	9	0.0
Devin White	5	6	0.0
Maxx Crosby	5	3	2.0
Adam Butler	1	5	0.0
Thomas Booker	3	2	0.0
Darien Porter	3	0	0.0
Jamal Adams	1	1	0.0
Isaiah Pola-Mao	2	0	0.0
Tyree Wilson	2	0	0.0
Malcolm Koonce	2	0	1.0

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Herbert	15/20	151	2	1	3	7.3
Trey Lance	1/1	9	0	0	0	0.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kimani Vidal	25	126	5.0	1	-0.8
Jaret Patterson	11	54	4.9	1	2.8
Justin Herbert	3	8	2.7	0	-1.0
Trey Lance	4	4	1.0	0	-2.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Ladd McConkey	4	6	39	1	29%	-1.9
Keenan Allen	4	5	30	0	24%	3.8
Tre Harris	3	4	30	0	19%	3.1
Oronde Gadsden II	1	2	27	0	10%	1.9
Quentin Johnston	3	3	23	1	14%	4.4
Kimani Vidal	1	1	11	0	5%	0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Denzel Perryman	5	1	0.0	0	0
Tuli Tuipulotu	4	2	2.0	0	1
Elijah Molden	2	3	0.0	0	0
Khalil Mack	2	2	0.5	0	0
Tony Jefferson	2	1	0.0	1	1
Justin Eboigbe	3	0	0.0	0	0
Cam Hart	3	0	0.0	0	0
Daiyan Henley	2	1	0.5	0	0
Teair Tart	2	0	0.0	0	1
Donte Jackson	1	1	0.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LAC -10
Closing total: 40.5
LV moneyline: +440
LAC moneyline: -600

Chargers closed -10 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 45 — over by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Alex Moore
Rest: LV 7 days · LAC 14 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Jim Harbaugh

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.