2025 Week 13 · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · Lumen Field

Minnesota Vikings

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -12.5 ✓U 42.5 ✓Seahawks closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 26.

Seattle Seahawks 26–0 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 3:14, MIN +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 3:14MIN 0 — SEA 9MIN ball · 4th & 1SEA 79%

(3:14) 12-M.Brosmer pass short right INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones [0-D.Lawrence] at SEA 15. 13-E.Jones for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 3:14MIN +15% win prob(3:14) 12-M.Brosmer pass short right INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones [0-D.Lawrence] at SEA 15. 13-E.Jones for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 5:26MIN +11% win prob(5:26) 14-S.Darnold sacked at SEA 15 for -7 yards (15-D.Turner). FUMBLES (15-D.Turner) [15-D.Turner], RECOVERED by MIN-61-J.Redmond at SEA 13.
Q1 · 6:47MIN +9% win prob(6:47) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at SEA 31 for -13 yards (55-E.Wilson).
Q1 · 5:58SEA +7% win prob(5:58) 4-M.Dickson punts 56 yards to MIN 13, Center-41-C.Stoll, downed by SEA-28-N.Pritchett.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q2 · 7:12SEA Field goal
(7:12) 5-J.Myers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: MIN 0 — SEA 3
Q2 · 3:14SEA Touchdown
(3:14) 12-M.Brosmer pass short right INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones [0-D.Lawrence] at SEA 15. 13-E.Jones for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 0 — SEA 10
Q2 · 0:12SEA Field goal
(:12) 5-J.Myers 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: MIN 0 — SEA 13
Q3 · 11:19SEA Field goal
(11:19) 5-J.Myers 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: MIN 0 — SEA 16
Q3 · 3:19SEA Field goal
(3:19) 5-J.Myers 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: MIN 0 — SEA 19
Q4 · 9:17SEA Touchdown
(9:17) 26-Z.Charbonnet left tackle for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 0 — SEA 26

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Vikings	Seahawks
Offensive plays	49	62
Total yards	163	219 (edge)
Yards per play	3.3	3.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.70	-0.18 (edge)
Success rate	22%	37% (edge)
Dropback rate	69%	48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.92	-0.28 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.22	-0.08 (edge)
Third downs	2/10	6/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	3
First downs gained on snaps	9	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	4
Turnovers	5	1 (edge)

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.18 expected points added per play vs -0.70.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Sam DarnoldQB

14/26, 128 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-8.5 expected points added · -15.9% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Max BrosmerQB

19/30, 126 yds, 0 TD, 4 INT

-29.1 expected points added · -4.2% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth Walker IIIRB

13 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

-1.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Zach CharbonnetRB

14 att, 52 yds, 1 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIN

T.J. HockensonTE

6/6 for 59 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 3.4 expected points added

Receiving · MIN

Jordan AddisonWR

5/10 for 36 yds, 0 TD

34% of team targets · -2.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	MIN	MIN 33	7	2	3:49	Punt
2	SEA	SEA 4	10	22	5:24	Punt
3	MIN	MIN 13	5	21	2:20	Punt
4	SEA	SEA 14	4	1	0:59	Punt
5	MIN	MIN 27	4	2	1:02	Punt
6	SEA	SEA 32	15	53	9:16	Field goal +3
7	MIN	MIN 29	6	18	1:44	Punt
8	SEA	SEA 22	1	-9	0:05	Fumble
9	MIN	SEA 13	4	9	2:22	Defensive touchdown
10	MIN	MIN 32	5	-3	2:01	Punt
11	SEA	SEA 45	7	17	0:50	Field goal +3
12	MIN	MIN 31	2	0	0:08	End of half
13	SEA	SEA 20	9	34	3:46	Field goal +3
14	MIN	MIN 32	6	28	2:33	Fumble
15	SEA	SEA 37	9	37	5:25	Field goal +3
16	MIN	MIN 33	6	7	2:14	Interception
17	SEA	SEA 21	6	26	2:36	Punt
18	MIN	MIN 20	2	4	0:34	Interception
19	SEA	MIN 32	7	32	3:41	Touchdown +7
20	MIN	MIN 25	9	62	3:38	Interception
21	MIN	SEA 37	4	0	2:23	Turnover on downs
22	SEA	SEA 47	4	6	2:19	Punt
23	MIN	MIN 2	2	13	0:51	End of game

5 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 62 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a interception.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Max Brosmer	19/30	126	0	4	4	-29.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Jordan Mason	6	47	7.8	0.0
Zavier Scott	3	17	5.7	0.1
Aaron Jones	6	3	0.5	-3.4
Max Brosmer	1	-1	-1.0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
T.J. Hockenson	6	6	59	21%	3.4
Jordan Addison	5	10	36	34%	-2.1
Aaron Jones	4	4	22	14%	-3.1
Zavier Scott	1	1	4	3%	-0.2
Justin Jefferson	2	6	4	21%	-7.3
Jordan Mason	1	1	1	3%	-0.5
Jalen Nailor	0	1	0	3%	-3.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Eric Wilson	8	3	1.0	0
Blake Cashman	5	4	0.0	1
Jonathan Allen	1	5	0.0	0
Byron Murphy	2	3	0.0	0
Isaiah Rodgers	4	1	0.0	0
Harrison Smith	2	3	0.0	1
Dallas Turner	4	1	2.0	1
Andrew Van Ginkel	3	2	1.0	0
Josh Metellus	2	2	0.0	2
Jalen Redmond	2	1	0.0	0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Sam Darnold	14/26	128	0	0	4	-8.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenneth Walker III	13	56	4.3	0	-1.7
Zach Charbonnet	14	52	3.7	1	0.7
Rashid Shaheed	1	9	9.0	0	-0.4
Myles Gaskin	3	6	2.0	0	-1.5
AJ Barner	1	2	2.0	0	0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
AJ Barner	4	5	35	22%	4.5
Cooper Kupp	3	4	24	17%	0.1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	2	4	23	17%	1.1
Cody White	1	1	21	4%	2.9
Kenneth Walker III	3	4	18	17%	0.7
Rashid Shaheed	1	3	7	13%	-1.2
Elijah Arroyo	0	2	0	9%	-3.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Ernest Jones	7	5	0.0	2	2
Devon Witherspoon	4	3	0.0	0	0
Drake Thomas	2	3	0.5	0	0
Nick Emmanwori	3	1	0.0	0	1
Patrick O'Connell	1	2	0.0	0	0
Byron Murphy II	2	1	1.0	0	0
Coby Bryant	0	2	0.0	1	1
Ty Okada	2	0	0.0	0	0
DeMarcus Lawrence	2	0	1.0	0	0
Boye Mafe	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -12.5
Closing total: 42.5
MIN moneyline: +600
SEA moneyline: -900

Seahawks closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 26.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 26 — under by 16.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lumen Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 45°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: MIN 7 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches: Kevin O'Connell vs Mike Macdonald