2025 Week 13 · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · FirstEnergy Stadium

San Francisco 49ersWinner

Cleveland Browns

SF -5.5 ✓U 35.5 ✓20 mph wind49ers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 18.

San Francisco 49ers 26–8 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 10:40, SF +12% win probability on one snap. Played in 20 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 10:40SF 0 — CLE 0CLE ball · 4th & 3SF 68%

(10:40) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 48 yards to SF 18, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 9-S.Moore pushed ob at CLE 16 for 66 yards (86-B.Whiteheart).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 10:40SF +12% win prob(10:40) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 48 yards to SF 18, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 9-S.Moore pushed ob at CLE 16 for 66 yards (86-B.Whiteheart).
Q2 · 0:47CLE +12% win prob(:47) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep left to 44-H.Fannin for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 7:08SF +8% win prob(7:08) 74-T.Jenkins reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 44-H.Fannin. 44-H.Fannin FUMBLES (Aborted) at CLE 32, RECOVERED by SF-57-L.Gifford at CLE 32.
Q2 · 0:15CLE +8% win prob(:15) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep left to 85-G.Kittle to CLE 7 for 33 yards (33-R.Hickman).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:15SF Touchdown
(8:15) (Shotgun) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SF 7 — CLE 0
Q2 · 0:47CLE Touchdown
(:47) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep left to 44-H.Fannin for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: SF 7 — CLE 8
Q2 · 0:04SF Field goal
(:04) 14-M.Gay 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.
Score after this play: SF 10 — CLE 8
Q3 · 1:33SF Touchdown
(1:33) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SF 17 — CLE 8
Q4 · 11:09SF Touchdown
(11:09) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 15-J.Jennings for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: SF 23 — CLE 8
Q4 · 4:13SF Field goal
(4:13) 14-M.Gay 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.
Score after this play: SF 26 — CLE 8

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	49ers	Browns
Offensive plays	64	61
Total yards	253	255 (edge)
Yards per play	4.0	4.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.01 (edge)	-0.20
Success rate	34%	43% (edge)
Dropback rate	52%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.05 (edge)	-0.20
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.03 (edge)	-0.19
Third downs	11/17 (edge)	3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	2	2
First downs gained on snaps	19 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	3
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Browns outgained 49ers 255–253 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Brock PurdyQB

16/29, 168 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.4 expected points added · +9.5% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Shedeur SandersQB

16/25, 149 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-3.9 expected points added · +0.3% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Quinshon JudkinsRB

23 att, 91 yds, 0 TD

-4.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Christian McCaffreyRB

20 att, 53 yds, 1 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

George KittleTE

4/5 for 67 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Harold Fannin Jr.TE

3/5 for 43 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 1.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SF	SF 25	6	24	1:48	Punt
2	CLE	CLE 13	6	21	2:50	Punt
3	SF	CLE 16	7	16	2:10	Touchdown +7
4	CLE	CLE 30	11	49	5:13	Turnover on downs
5	SF	SF 21	4	1	1:31	Punt
6	CLE	CLE 39	8	17	4:04	Punt
7	SF	SF 20	9	35	6:03	Punt
8	CLE	CLE 10	11	92	5:42	Touchdown +8
9	SF	SF 35	7	58	0:39	Field goal +3
10	CLE	CLE 27	7	14	2:49	Punt
11	SF	SF 22	9	24	3:05	Punt
12	CLE	CLE 24	4	9	2:01	Fumble
13	SF	CLE 32	10	32	5:36	Touchdown +7
14	CLE	CLE 5	5	1	1:01	Punt
15	SF	CLE 47	4	-1	2:01	Punt
16	SF	CLE 18	7	18	2:22	Touchdown +6
17	CLE	CLE 32	8	20	3:41	Turnover on downs
18	SF	CLE 42	9	34	3:15	Field goal +3
19	CLE	CLE 35	10	32	2:29	Turnover on downs
20	SF	SF 38	4	12	1:40	End of game

6 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 92 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Brock Purdy	16/29	168	1	0	1	3.4
Christian McCaffrey	0/1	0	0	0	0	-0.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Christian McCaffrey	20	53	2.6	1	-1.4
Brian Robinson	8	26	3.3	0	-2.0
Demarcus Robinson	1	6	6.0	0	0.3
Brock Purdy	2	4	2.0	1	1.0
Mac Jones	2	2	1.0	0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
George Kittle	4	5	67	0	22%	2.4
Jauan Jennings	4	6	39	1	26%	5.5
Kyle Juszczyk	2	2	27	0	9%	1.6
Christian McCaffrey	4	4	21	0	17%	2.6
Ricky Pearsall	2	3	14	0	13%	-0.4
Demarcus Robinson	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.6
Luke Farrell	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.4
Kendrick Bourne	0	1	0	0	4%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Clelin Ferrell	6	3	2.0	0
Upton Stout	5	2	0.0	0
Dee Winters	3	3	0.0	0
Curtis Robinson	3	3	0.0	0
Malik Mustapha	4	2	0.0	1
Ji'Ayir Brown	4	1	0.0	0
Deommodore Lenoir	1	3	0.0	0
Keion White	3	0	1.0	0
Renardo Green	3	0	0.0	0
Jason Pinnock	2	0	0.0	0

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Shedeur Sanders	16/25	149	1	0	3	-3.9
Dillon Gabriel	1/1	0	0	0	0	-0.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Quinshon Judkins	23	91	4.0	-4.2
Dylan Sampson	4	23	5.8	0.7
Isaiah Bond	1	9	9.0	0.6
Malachi Corley	1	9	9.0	0.6
Shedeur Sanders	1	6	6.0	-1.4
Harold Fannin Jr.	1	0	0.0	-3.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Harold Fannin Jr.	3	5	43	1	22%	1.6
Jerry Jeudy	3	4	26	0	17%	0.5
Gage Larvadain	2	3	23	0	13%	1.5
Quinshon Judkins	3	3	18	0	13%	0.2
Isaiah Bond	1	2	18	0	9%	0.3
Jerome Ford	3	3	17	0	13%	1.5
David Njoku	2	2	4	0	9%	-1.1
Cedric Tillman	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Carson Schwesinger	4	5	0.0	0
Ronnie Hickman Jr.	4	4	0.0	1
Devin Bush	1	6	0.0	0
Tyson Campbell	3	3	0.0	2
Grant Delpit	2	3	0.0	0
Myles Garrett	2	3	1.0	0
Shelby Harris	3	1	0.0	0
Mason Graham	3	1	0.0	0
Mohamoud Diabate	1	3	0.0	0
Myles Harden	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SF -5.5
Closing total: 35.5
SF moneyline: -250
CLE moneyline: +205

49ers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 18.

Total closed 35.5; the game landed 34 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 35°F, wind 20 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: SF 6 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches: Kyle Shanahan vs Kevin Stefanski

Wind at 20 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.