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2025 Week 14 · Thu, Dec 4, 2025 · Ford Field

Dallas Cowboys

30

Detroit LionsWinner

44

DET -3.5 ✓O 55.5 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 44–30. Biggest swing: Q4 8:26, DET +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DET ↑DAL ↓
Q4 · 8:26DAL 27 — DET 30DET ball · 3rd & 6DET 78%

(8:26) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams to DAL 26 for 29 yards (14-M.Bell). PENALTY on DAL-53-J.Houston, Roughing the Passer, 13 yards, enforced at DAL 26.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 8:26DET +11% win prob(8:26) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams to DAL 26 for 29 yards (14-M.Bell). PENALTY on DAL-53-J.Houston, Roughing the Passer, 13 yards, enforced at DAL 26.
  2. Q4 · 9:59DET +11% win prob(9:59) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 19-R.Flournoy for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 11:30DAL +8% win prob(11:30) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at DAL 20 for -10 yards (53-J.Houston).
  4. Q3 · 2:54DET +8% win prob(2:54) 17-B.Aubrey 63 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:50DET Field goal

    (10:50) 39-J.Bates 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: DAL 0 — DET 3
  2. Q1 · 8:12DAL Field goal

    (8:12) 17-B.Aubrey 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — DET 3
  3. Q1 · 2:18DET Touchdown

    (2:18) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 0-J.Gibbs up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — DET 10
  4. Q2 · 9:27DAL Field goal

    (9:27) 17-B.Aubrey 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 6 — DET 10
  5. Q2 · 4:36DET Touchdown

    (4:36) (Shotgun) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 6 — DET 17
  6. Q2 · 0:55DAL Field goal

    (:55) 17-B.Aubrey 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 9 — DET 17
  7. Q2 · 0:04DET Field goal

    (:04) 39-J.Bates 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: DAL 9 — DET 20
  8. Q3 · 14:18DET Touchdown

    (14:18) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 18-I.TeSlaa for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 9 — DET 27
  9. Q3 · 10:43DAL Touchdown

    (10:43) 33-J.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 16 — DET 27
  10. Q3 · 2:54DAL Field goal

    (2:54) 17-B.Aubrey 63 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 19 — DET 27
  11. Q4 · 11:54DET Field goal

    (11:54) 39-J.Bates 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: DAL 19 — DET 30
  12. Q4 · 9:59DAL Touchdown

    (9:59) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 19-R.Flournoy for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: DAL 27 — DET 30
  13. Q4 · 7:22DET Touchdown

    (7:22) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 0-J.Gibbs left tackle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 27 — DET 37
  14. Q4 · 3:45DAL Field goal

    (3:45) 17-B.Aubrey 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 30 — DET 37
  15. Q4 · 2:25DET Touchdown

    (2:25) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 0-J.Gibbs right end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 30 — DET 44

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysLions
Offensive plays7755
Total yards419 (edge)410
Yards per play5.47.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.010.33 (edge)
Success rate43%49% (edge)
Dropback rate71%64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.020.35 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.010.31 (edge)
Third downs6/15 (edge)3/8
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)99
First downs gained on snaps25 (edge)18
Sacks taken51 (edge)
Turnovers30 (edge)

Cowboys outgained Lions 419–410 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

31/47, 376 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

1.0 expected points added · +1.2% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

25/34, 309 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

12.2 expected points added · +9.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Javonte WilliamsRB

17 att, 67 yds, 1 TD

0.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

David MontgomeryRB

6 att, 60 yds, 1 TD

4.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

6/8 for 121 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 8.0 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Ryan FlournoyWR

9/13 for 115 yds, 1 TD

28% of team targets · 6.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DETDET 369444:14Field goal +3
2DALDAL 329292:39Field goal +3
3DETDET 47521:00Punt
4DALDAL 54-41:43Punt
5DETDAL 427473:10Touchdown +7
6DALDAL 3017467:51Field goal +3
7DETDET 295131:02Punt
8DALDAL 214292:06Fumble
9DETDET 475681:48Touchdown +7
10DALDAL 2010583:37Field goal +3
11DETDET 267310:50Field goal +3
12DALDAL 30200:12Interception
13DETDAL 143140:34Touchdown +7
14DALDAL 3511603:33Touchdown +7
15DETDET 3210344:56Missed field goal
16DALDAL 426332:56Field goal +3
17DETDET 3211605:59Field goal +3
18DALDAL 306721:58Touchdown +8
19DETDET 417462:35Touchdown +7
20DALDAL 3314563:35Field goal +3
21DETDET 495511:23Touchdown +7
22DALDAL 319401:13Interception
23DETDET 14201:06End of game

15 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 72 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott31/473761251.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Javonte Williams17673.910.6
Dak Prescott3144.700.6
Malik Davis362.00-0.7
KaVontae Turpin144.00-0.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb68121017%8.0
Ryan Flournoy913115128%6.3
Jake Ferguson5758015%-2.0
George Pickens5937019%-4.6
KaVontae Turpin222604%2.2
Luke Schoonmaker121204%0.7
Brevyn Spann-Ford11702%0.5
Javonte Williams24009%-2.9
Jonathan Mingo01002%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
DeMarvion Overshown340.000
DaRon Bland430.000
Shavon Revel Jr.420.001
Donovan Ezeiruaku130.000
Quinnen Williams130.000
Markquese Bell130.000
Sam Williams120.000
Reddy Steward210.000
Malik Hooker110.000
C.J. Goodwin110.000

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff25/3430910112.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
David Montgomery66010.014.6
Jahmyr Gibbs12433.631.4
Jameson Williams177.000.7
Malik Cunningham111.00-0.5
Jared Goff2-2-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jameson Williams7996029%5.7
Amon-Ra St. Brown6992029%2.3
Jahmyr Gibbs7777023%4.4
Isaac TeSlaa2320110%1.9
David Montgomery111303%1.0
Anthony Firkser11703%0.9
Ross Dwelley11403%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jack Campbell661.000
D.J. Reed800.012
Avonte Maddox620.001
Alex Anzalone430.003
Brian Branch330.001
Amik Robertson410.001
Rock Ya-Sin130.000
Al-Quadin Muhammad303.000
Aidan Hutchinson210.000
Trevor Nowaske210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -3.5
Closing total
55.5
DAL moneyline
+160
DET moneyline
-192

Lions closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 55.5; the game landed 74 — over by 18.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
DAL 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches
Brian Schottenheimer vs Dan Campbell