For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2025 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium
24
17
Denver Broncos 24–17. Biggest swing: Q1 0:05, LV +9% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:05) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 89-B.Bowers for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
How the points landed
(6:10) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix scrambles up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 7 — LV 0(:05) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 89-B.Bowers for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 7 — LV 7(6:44) 6-A.Cole punts 42 yards to LV 48, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 19-M.Mims for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 14 — LV 7(4:10) 12-R.Harvey up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 21 — LV 7(3:59) 3-W.Lutz 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
Score after this play: DEN 24 — LV 7(2:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-K.Pickett pass deep middle to 4-S.Jackson for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 24 — LV 14(:05) 8-D.Carlson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: DEN 24 — LV 17Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Broncos | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 72 | 47 |
| Total yards | 356 (edge) | 229 |
| Yards per play | 4.9 (edge) | 4.9 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.16 (edge) | -0.05 |
| Success rate | 57% (edge) | 36% |
| Dropback rate | 60% | 79% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.21 (edge) | -0.01 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (edge) | -0.20 |
| Third downs | 7/12 (edge) | 3/9 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 (edge) | 2 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 25 (edge) | 14 |
| Sacks taken | 3 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.05.
Who moved the needle
Passing · DEN
Bo NixQB
31/38, 212 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
5.9 expected points added · +11.0% completion over expected
Passing · LV
13/21, 116 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-2.7 expected points added · +5.5% completion over expected
Receiving · DEN
6/10 for 62 yds, 0 TD
28% of team targets · 1.5 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 19 | 16 | 81 | 8:54 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | LV | LV 30 | 12 | 70 | 6:06 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 19 | 11 | 41 | 4:57 | Punt | |
| 4 | LV | LV 5 | 5 | -11 | 3:34 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 5 | LV | LV 31 | 6 | 14 | 1:47 | Punt | |
| 6 | DEN | DEN 12 | 10 | 47 | 4:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | LV | LV 41 | 4 | 3 | 0:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | DEN | LV 44 | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | End of half | |
| 9 | LV | LV 31 | 5 | 2 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 9 | 15 | 86 | 9:13 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | LV | LV 40 | 13 | 55 | 4:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 5 | 19 | 85 | 10:17 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | LV | LV 35 | 8 | 57 | 1:39 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | DEN | LV 44 | 7 | 16 | 1:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | LV | LV 28 | 6 | 39 | 0:58 | Field goal +3 |
6 of 15 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 86 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 31/38 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Harvey | 17 | 75 | 4.4 | 1 | 2.4 |
| Adam Prentice | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 1.9 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Tyler Badie | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Bo Nix | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 1 | 2.3 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 6 | 10 | 62 | 0 | 28% | 1.5 |
| Pat Bryant | 4 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 11% | 2.8 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 8% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Singleton | 1 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Moss | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Talanoa Hufanga | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dre Greenlaw |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 13/21 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Kenny Pickett | 8/11 | 97 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Broncos closed -8.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 40.5; the game landed 41 — over by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 1.8 |
| RJ Harvey | 6 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 17% | 4.8 |
| Adam Trautman | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 6% | 0.8 |
| Adam Prentice | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 6% | 0.6 |
| Troy Franklin | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 11% | -1.8 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.6 |
| Evan Engram | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6% | -0.6 |
| Tyler Badie | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 0.0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | -0.2 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Nik Bonitto | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahdae Barron | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Surtain II | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ja'Quan McMillian | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Franklin-Myers | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malcolm Roach | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | 10 | 30 | 3.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Kenny Pickett | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Geno Smith | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bech | 6 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 21% | 3.5 |
| Brock Bowers | 4 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 18% | 1.3 |
| Tyler Lockett | 3 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 14% | 1.6 |
| Shedrick Jackson | 1 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 4% | 3.4 |
| Tre Tucker | 2 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 18% | -1.1 |
| Ian Thomas | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 7% | 1.9 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 14% | -2.5 |
| Raheem Mostert | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | -0.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin White | 10 | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremy Chinn | 7 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Stokes | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darien Porter | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaiah Pola-Mao | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonah Laulu | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elandon Roberts | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maxx Crosby | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lonnie Johnson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Booker | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
