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2025 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
20
10
Houston Texans 20–10. Biggest swing: Q4 10:22, HOU +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(10:22) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 4-R.Rice (24-D.Stingley) [51-W.Anderson].
How the points landed
(4:22) 15-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: HOU 3 — KC 0(9:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 27-W.Marks for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN [32-N.Bolton]. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 10 — KC 0(9:59) (Shotgun) 29-K.Hunt right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 10 — KC 7(1:54) 7-H.Butker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: HOU 10 — KC 10(7:00) (Shotgun) 33-D.Ogunbowale up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 17 — KC 10(:33) 15-K.Fairbairn 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: HOU 20 — KC 10Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Texans | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 65 | 63 |
| Total yards | 268 | 274 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.1 | 4.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.08 (edge) | -0.29 |
| Success rate | 32% | 37% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 54% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.00 (edge) | -0.44 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.17 | -0.02 (edge) |
| Third downs | 8/18 (edge) | 4/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 4 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 12 | 14 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 3 |
Chiefs outgained Texans 274–268 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · HOU
15/31, 203 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
0.2 expected points added · -6.1% completion over expected
Passing · KC
14/33, 160 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT
-22.3 expected points added · -14.9% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 33 | 5 | 6 | 1:16 | Punt | |
| 2 | HOU | HOU 13 | 8 | 19 | 4:28 | Punt | |
| 3 | KC | KC 25 | 5 | 6 | 2:31 | Punt | |
| 4 | HOU | HOU 33 | 5 | 60 | 2:27 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | KC | KC 23 | 9 | 28 | 4:24 | Punt | |
| 6 | HOU | HOU 10 | 11 | 90 | 5:30 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | KC | KC 35 | 3 | 1 | 0:50 | Interception | |
| 8 | HOU | HOU 43 | 7 | 15 | 3:03 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 3 | 12 | 57 | 4:31 | Missed field goal | |
| 10 | HOU | HOU 33 | 5 | 17 | 1:00 | End of half | |
| 11 | HOU | HOU 17 | 5 | -4 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 12 | KC | KC 44 | 9 | 56 | 4:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 13 | HOU | HOU 35 | 5 | 2 | 0:49 | Punt | |
| 14 | KC | KC 4 | 8 | 42 | 3:27 | Punt | |
| 15 | HOU | HOU 12 | 4 | 0 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 16 | KC | HOU 48 | 7 | 30 | 2:45 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | HOU | HOU 23 | 5 | 0 | 1:06 | Punt | |
| 18 | KC | KC 38 | 3 | 4 | 0:51 | Interception | |
| 19 | HOU | HOU 16 | 7 | 19 | 3:28 | Punt | |
| 20 | KC | KC 22 | 4 | 9 | 1:07 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | HOU | KC 31 | 7 | 31 | 3:22 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 22 | KC | KC 35 | 5 | 6 | 1:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | HOU | KC 41 | 4 | 3 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 24 | KC | KC 8 | 2 | 0 | 0:12 | Interception | |
| 25 | HOU | KC 26 | 7 | 16 | 3:02 | Field goal +3 | |
| 26 | KC | KC 30 | 4 | 29 | 0:30 | End of game |
6 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 90 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 15/31 | 203 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woody Marks | 26 | 68 | 2.6 | 0 | -5.3 |
| C.J. Stroud | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Nick Chubb | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Jaylin Noel | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 4 | 8 | 121 | 0 | 30% | 3.7 |
| Jayden Higgins | 3 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 19% | 3.0 |
| Dalton Schultz | 3 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 15% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Togiai | 2 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Pitre | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Myles Bryant | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamari Lassiter |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 14/33 | 160 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -22.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 7 | 59 | 8.4 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41.5; the game landed 30 — under by 11.5.
Conditions and crew
| 0.0 |
| Jaylin Noel | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 7% | 0.6 |
| Woody Marks | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 11% | 2.7 |
| Christian Kirk | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11% | -1.9 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -1.7 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Azeez Al-Shaair | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Danielle Hunter | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sheldon Rankins | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry To'oTo'o | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Anderson Jr. | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.2 |
| Kareem Hunt | 12 | 30 | 2.5 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 9 | 30 | 3.3 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Brashard Smith | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Worthy | 3 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 14% | 3.0 |
| Marquise Brown | 1 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 7% | 0.8 |
| Rashee Rice | 4 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 28% | -8.7 |
| Tyquan Thornton | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 10% | 1.1 |
| Noah Gray | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 10% | -2.2 |
| Travis Kelce | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 17% | -5.2 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7% | -1.3 |
| Kareem Hunt | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.9 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 1 | 1 | -10 | 0 | 3% | -2.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Bolton | 6 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drue Tranquill | 4 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Edwards | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Cook | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Karlaftis | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chamarri Conner | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Chenal | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nohl Williams | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaylen Watson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashton Gillotte | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
