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2025 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · State Farm Stadium

Los Angeles RamsWinner

45

Arizona Cardinals

17

LA -9.5 ✓O 49.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Rams 45–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:17, ARI +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ARI ↑LA ↓
Q1 · 14:17LA 0 — ARI 0ARI ball · 2nd & 7LA 82%

(14:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 85-T.McBride to LA 37 for 27 yards (0-B.Young) [30-J.Wallace].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 14:17ARI +7% win prob(14:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 85-T.McBride to LA 37 for 27 yards (0-B.Young) [30-J.Wallace].
  2. Q1 · 7:43LA +6% win prob(7:43) 92-H.Mevis 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  3. Q1 · 9:55ARI +6% win prob(9:55) 23-K.Williams right tackle to ARI 32 for 18 yards (3-B.Baker; 36-K.Crawford).
  4. Q1 · 3:37ARI +6% win prob(3:37) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 12-P.Nacua to ARI 23 for 32 yards (21-G.Williams).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:10ARI Touchdown

    (12:10) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 14-M.Wilson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 0 — ARI 7
  2. Q1 · 7:43LA Field goal

    (7:43) 92-H.Mevis 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 3 — ARI 7
  3. Q1 · 1:33LA Touchdown

    (1:33) 22-B.Corum up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 10 — ARI 7
  4. Q2 · 8:39ARI Field goal

    (8:39) 38-C.Ryland 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: LA 10 — ARI 10
  5. Q2 · 2:50LA Touchdown

    (2:50) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 17 — ARI 10
  6. Q2 · 0:18LA Touchdown

    (:18) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 12-P.Nacua for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 24 — ARI 10
  7. Q3 · 10:12LA Touchdown

    (10:12) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 84-C.Parkinson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 31 — ARI 10
  8. Q3 · 0:18LA Touchdown

    (:18) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 12-P.Nacua for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 38 — ARI 10
  9. Q4 · 13:56LA Touchdown

    (13:56) 22-B.Corum right tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 45 — ARI 10
  10. Q4 · 11:13ARI Touchdown

    (11:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 14-M.Wilson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 45 — ARI 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsCardinals
Offensive plays6461
Total yards534 (edge)314
Yards per play8.3 (edge)5.1
Expected points added / play0.44 (edge)-0.06
Success rate64% (edge)38%
Dropback rate48%82%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.50 (edge)-0.07
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.38 (edge)-0.04
Third downs3/7 (edge)4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)11 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps29 (edge)17
Sacks taken0 (edge)3
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.44 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

22/31, 281 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

15.4 expected points added · +4.1% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Jacoby BrissettQB

25/44, 271 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-3.3 expected points added · -8.4% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Blake CorumRB

12 att, 128 yds, 2 TD

8.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

13 att, 84 yds, 1 TD

5.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

7/11 for 167 yds, 2 TD

35% of team targets · 11.1 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Michael WilsonWR

11/16 for 142 yds, 2 TD

36% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ARIARI 337672:55Touchdown +7
2LALA 3211604:25Field goal +3
3ARIARI 207142:45Punt
4LALA 267743:26Touchdown +7
5ARIARI 1814727:55Field goal +3
6LALA 3512755:47Touchdown +7
7ARIARI 35501:05Punt
8LALA 88971:30Touchdown +7
9ARIARI 355200:12Missed field goal
10LALA 2612624:51Touchdown +7
11ARIARI 35551:02Punt
12LALA 1610394:52Punt
13ARIARI 10441:14Punt
14LALA 39472:00Punt
15ARIARI 20320:43Interception
16LAARI 312310:06Touchdown +7
17ARIARI 20511:16Punt
18LAARI 482480:10Touchdown +7
19ARIARI 3512652:38Touchdown +7
20LALA 405142:40Punt
21ARIARI 2011643:11Turnover on downs
22LALA 168275:17End of game

10 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 97 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford22/3128130015.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Blake Corum1212810.728.4
Kyren Williams13846.515.6
Ronnie Rivers8415.10-1.4
Jimmy Garoppolo3-4-1.300.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua711167235%11.1
Colby Parkinson3532116%2.6
Davante Adams4629019%0.2
Davis Allen222106%1.6
Kyren Williams221306%0.9
Xavier Smith11603%0.1
Konata Mumpfield11503%0.0
Jordan Whittington11503%0.1
Blake Corum11303%-0.3
Terrance Ferguson01003%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Omar Speights510.001
Kam Curl331.000
Emmanuel Forbes220.001
Byron Young221.000
Kamren Kinchens310.000
Ahkello Witherspoon310.000
Desjuan Johnson120.000
Troy Reeder210.001
Jaylen McCollough300.000
Cobie Durant110.000

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jacoby Brissett25/44271213-3.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jacoby Brissett4225.500.9
Bam Knight7162.30-1.1
Michael Carter3134.30-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Michael Wilson1116142236%6.1
Trey McBride5958020%-0.3
Jalen Brooks233207%1.2
Bam Knight3618014%-0.7
Michael Carter241809%-2.9
Andre Baccellia13307%-1.8
Josiah Deguara01002%-0.6
Elijah Higgins11002%-0.6
Trent Sherfield01002%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Owen Pappoe640.001
Jalen Thompson340.000
PJ Mustipher250.000
Budda Baker330.000
Baron Browning150.000
Garrett Williams150.000
Denzel Burke410.000
Calais Campbell220.000
Will Johnson210.001
Cody Simon120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -9.5
Closing total
49.5
LA moneyline
-500
ARI moneyline
+380

Rams closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 62 — over by 12.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
LA 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Jonathan Gannon

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.