2025 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Tennessee TitansWinner

Cleveland Browns

CLE -4.5 upsetO 33.5 ✓Browns closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Tennessee Titans 31–29 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q2 2:58, CLE +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 2:58TEN 14 — CLE 16CLE ball · 2nd & 10CLE 51%

(2:58) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 2:58CLE +21% win prob(2:58) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 11:07TEN +20% win prob(11:07) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass short right to 22-D.Sampson to CLE 25 for 5 yards (26-M.Harris). FUMBLES (26-M.Harris), RECOVERED by TEN-33-C.Gray at CLE 27. 33-C.Gray to CLE 8 for 19 yards (19-C.Tillman).
Q3 · 0:58CLE +17% win prob(:58) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left tackle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 3:54TEN +16% win prob(3:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Bush [9-G.Delpit] at CLE 17. 30-D.Bush pushed ob at TEN 39 for 44 yards (75-D.Moore).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 9:58TEN Touchdown
(9:58) 72-O.Udoh reported in as eligible. 1-C.Ward pass short left to 5-E.Ayomanor for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — CLE 0
Q1 · 1:47CLE Field goal
(1:47) 25-A.Szmyt 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. Penalty on TEN-21-M.Robinson, Defensive Offside, declined.
Score after this play: TEN 7 — CLE 3
Q1 · 1:42TEN Touchdown
(1:42) 72-O.Udoh reported in as eligible. 20-T.Pollard right end for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — CLE 3
Q2 · 14:30CLE Touchdown
(14:30) 70-Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. 12-S.Sanders pass short left to 85-D.Njoku for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. CLE-85-D.Njoku was injured during the play. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — CLE 10
Q2 · 2:58CLE Touchdown
(2:58) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — CLE 17
Q3 · 0:58TEN Touchdown
(:58) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left tackle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 21 — CLE 17
Q4 · 9:35TEN Touchdown
(9:35) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 17-C.Dike for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 28 — CLE 17
Q4 · 6:21TEN Field goal
(6:21) 6-J.Slye 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.
Score after this play: TEN 31 — CLE 17
Q4 · 4:47CLE Touchdown
(4:47) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders scrambles up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: TEN 31 — CLE 23
Q4 · 1:09CLE Touchdown
(1:09) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass short left to 44-H.Fannin for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: TEN 31 — CLE 29

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Browns
Offensive plays	64	66
Total yards	292	412 (edge)
Yards per play	4.6	6.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.09	-0.06 (edge)
Success rate	36%	42% (edge)
Dropback rate	45%	73%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.30	0.05 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.08 (edge)	-0.34
Third downs	6/17	6/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Browns outgained Titans 412–292 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Shedeur SandersQB

23/42, 364 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

6.9 expected points added · -4.7% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Cam WardQB

14/28, 117 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-8.8 expected points added · -10.6% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Tony PollardRB

25 att, 161 yds, 2 TD

3.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Quinshon JudkinsRB

14 att, 26 yds, 0 TD

-5.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Harold Fannin Jr.TE

8/11 for 114 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 5.5 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Jerry JeudyWR

3/5 for 76 yds, 1 TD

13% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TEN	TEN 47	10	53	5:08	Touchdown +7
2	CLE	CLE 15	5	-3	2:45	Punt
3	TEN	CLE 46	8	22	3:22	Interception
4	CLE	TEN 39	5	19	2:03	Field goal +3
5	TEN	TEN 35	3	65	0:13	Touchdown +7
6	CLE	CLE 40	6	60	2:05	Touchdown +7
7	TEN	TEN 35	8	15	2:45	Punt
8	CLE	CLE 9	11	57	4:54	Punt
9	TEN	TEN 15	6	18	3:03	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 26	4	74	0:55	Touchdown +7
11	TEN	TEN 35	7	9	2:21	Punt
12	CLE	CLE 18	1	2	0:26	End of half
13	CLE	CLE 22	9	26	3:23	Punt
14	TEN	TEN 25	4	3	1:39	Punt
15	CLE	CLE 28	4	7	1:35	Punt
16	TEN	TEN 24	4	7	0:48	Punt
17	CLE	CLE 23	4	4	1:39	Punt
18	TEN	TEN 34	6	18	2:44	Punt
19	CLE	CLE 20	4	35	1:31	Interception
20	TEN	CLE 38	3	38	0:50	Touchdown +7
21	CLE	CLE 23	5	-13	2:00	Punt
22	TEN	TEN 26	7	30	2:44	Punt
23	CLE	CLE 20	1	5	0:13	Fumble
24	TEN	CLE 8	4	8	1:25	Touchdown +7
25	CLE	CLE 26	8	23	1:05	Punt
26	TEN	CLE 29	4	6	2:07	Field goal +3
27	CLE	CLE 34	7	53	1:50	Touchdown +6
28	TEN	TEN 35	5	0	1:44	Punt
29	CLE	CLE 20	8	63	1:40	Touchdown +6
30	TEN	CLE 46	4	0	1:03	End of game

10 of 30 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 74 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cam Ward	14/28	117	2	1	1	-8.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	25	161	6.4	2	3.7
Tyjae Spears	8	19	2.4	0	-1.1
Cam Ward	2	4	2.0	0	0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyjae Spears	2	4	28	0	16%	1.3
Chimere Dike	5	8	24	1	32%	-0.1
Chig Okonkwo	2	2	20	0	8%	2.2
Van Jefferson	2	4	17	0	16%	-0.9
Elic Ayomanor	1	3	14	1	12%	-4.9
Gunnar Helm	1	2	8	0	8%	-1.5
David Martin-Robinson	1	1	6	0	4%	0.3
James Proche	0	1	0	0	4%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Cedric Gray	7	3	0.0	0	0
Jeffery Simmons	2	5	1.5	0	1
Amani Hooker	4	2	0.0	0	0
Cody Barton	1	4	0.0	0	3
Marcus Harris	3	1	0.0	0	0
Jihad Ward	1	3	0.0	0	0
Kevin Winston Jr.	2	1	0.0	0	2
Arden Key	1	2	0.0	0	0
Julius Chestnut	3	0	0.0	0	0
Xavier Woods	2	1	0.0	1	1

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Shedeur Sanders	23/42	364	3	1	2	6.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Shedeur Sanders	3	29	9.7	1	1.8
Quinshon Judkins	14	26	1.9	0	-5.6
Dylan Sampson	2	4	2.0	0	0.3
Malachi Corley	1	2	2.0	0	0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Harold Fannin Jr.	8	11	114	1	29%	5.5
Jerry Jeudy	3	5	76	1	13%	4.8
Dylan Sampson	5	6	64	0	16%	-2.7
Quinshon Judkins	1	3	58	0	8%	2.8
Cedric Tillman	1	3	23	0	8%	0.5
Gage Larvadain	2	3	18	0	8%	-4.4
Jerome Ford	2	3	10	0	8%	1.7
David Njoku	1	1	1	1	3%	1.2
Blake Whiteheart	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6
Isaiah Bond	0	2	0	0	5%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Carson Schwesinger	5	7	0.0	0	1
Devin Bush	3	6	0.0	1	2
Grant Delpit	3	2	0.0	0	0
Ronnie Hickman Jr.	3	1	0.0	0	0
Denzel Ward	2	2	0.0	0	0
Myles Harden	1	3	0.0	0	0
Myles Garrett	4	0	1.0	0	1
Shelby Harris	1	3	0.0	0	0
Mohamoud Diabate	2	2	0.0	0	0
Tyson Campbell	2	1	0.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -4.5
Closing total: 33.5
TEN moneyline: +170
CLE moneyline: -205

Browns closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 33.5; the game landed 60 — over by 26.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 33°F, wind 6 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: TEN 7 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches: Brian Callahan vs Kevin Stefanski