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2025 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · U.S. Bank Stadium
0
31
Minnesota Vikings 31–0 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 2:46, WAS +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(2:46) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 1-D.Samuel.
How the points landed
(11:07) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass deep left to 84-J.Oliver for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 0 — MIN 7(5:45) 27-J.Mason left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 0 — MIN 14(7:06) 16-W.Reichard 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: WAS 0 — MIN 17(2:58) 9-J.McCarthy pass short right to 84-J.Oliver for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Martin]. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 0 — MIN 24(11:31) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. WAS-31-J.Jones was injured during the play. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 0 — MIN 31Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Commanders | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 49 | 57 |
| Total yards | 206 | 317 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.2 | 5.6 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.43 | 0.31 (edge) |
| Success rate | 35% | 54% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 51% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.70 | 0.40 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 | 0.21 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/10 | 6/10 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 10 | 23 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 (edge) |
Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.31 expected points added per play vs -0.43.
Who moved the needle
Passing · MIN
16/23, 163 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
9.3 expected points added · +0.1% completion over expected
Passing · WAS
9/20, 78 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-11.3 expected points added · -17.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | MIN 39 | 9 | 61 | 3:57 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | WAS | WAS 15 | 16 | 93 | 8:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | MIN | MIN 2 | 20 | 98 | 12:01 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | WAS | WAS 24 | 5 | 9 | 1:23 | Punt | |
| 5 | MIN | MIN 21 | 7 | 8 | 2:33 | Punt | |
| 6 | WAS | WAS 33 | 7 | 12 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 7 | MIN | MIN 14 | 1 | 0 | 0:17 | End of half | |
| 8 | WAS | WAS 23 | 13 | 39 | 6:44 | Interception | |
| 9 | MIN | WAS 30 | 4 | 3 | 1:15 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | WAS | WAS 20 | 5 | 17 | 2:04 | Interception | |
| 11 | MIN | WAS 37 | 5 | 37 | 2:04 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | WAS | WAS 30 | 5 | -9 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 13 | MIN | MIN 34 | 10 | 57 | 4:52 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | WAS | WAS 35 | 7 | 45 | 3:33 | Fumble | |
| 15 | MIN | MIN 17 | 12 | 53 | 7:53 | End of game |
5 of 15 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 98 scrimmage yards over 20 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 9/20 | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Marcus Mariota | 2/4 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 10 | 52 | 5.2 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 7 | 32 | 4.6 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Jayden Daniels | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Marcus Mariota | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 3 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 30% | -4.4 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | 4 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 30% | -1.6 |
| Noah Brown | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 10% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Wagner | 6 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quan Martin | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Sainristil | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jacob Martin |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy | 16/23 | 163 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 14 | 76 | 5.4 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Commanders closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 31 — under by 12.5.
Conditions and crew
| -0.2 |
| Zach Ertz | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 10% | 2.2 |
| Ben Sinnott | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 5% | 0.4 |
| Jeremy McNichols | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5% | -0.7 |
| Treylon Burks | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -5.1 |
| Colson Yankoff | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -0.6 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Von Miller | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frankie Luvu | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Noah Igbinoghene | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Magee | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston Smith | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eddie Goldman | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.6 |
| Jordan Mason | 11 | 52 | 4.7 | 1 | 2.1 |
| J.J. McCarthy | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Zavier Scott | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Addison | 4 | 7 | 62 | 0 | 30% | 3.2 |
| Jalen Nailor | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 13% | 3.9 |
| Josh Oliver | 2 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 9% | 2.9 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 13% | 2.8 |
| Justin Jefferson | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 17% | 0.2 |
| Tai Felton | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 4% | 0.6 |
| Ben Sims | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 1.0 |
| Zavier Scott | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | -0.2 |
| Aaron Jones | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Cashman | 3 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Wilson | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Redmond | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Metellus | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Smith | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Byron Murphy | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Ward | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dallas Turner | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fabian Moreau | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
