2025 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · Soldier Field

Cleveland Browns

Chicago BearsWinner

CHI -7.5 ✓U 38.5 ✓8°FBears closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Chicago Bears 31–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:02, CHI +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 14:02CLE 0 — CHI 0CHI ball · 4th & 9CHI 70%

(14:02) 19-T.Taylor punts 45 yards to CLE 1, Center-46-S.Daly, downed by CHI-33-J.Jones. ** Injury Update: CHI-33-J.Jones has returned to the game. Cleveland challenged the kick downed ruling, and the play was Upheld. Th

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 14:02CHI +8% win prob(14:02) 19-T.Taylor punts 45 yards to CLE 1, Center-46-S.Daly, downed by CHI-33-J.Jones. ** Injury Update: CHI-33-J.Jones has returned to the game. Cleveland challenged the kick downed ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
Q1 · 6:02CLE +5% win prob(6:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Touchback.
Q3 · 8:53CLE +4% win prob(8:53) 12-S.Sanders pass short left intended for 44-H.Fannin INTERCEPTED by 48-D.Jackson at CLE 22. 48-D.Jackson to CLE 22 for no gain (3-J.Jeudy).
Q1 · 14:05CLE +4% win prob(14:05) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete short right to 25-K.Monangai.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 7:39CHI Touchdown
(7:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Swift right tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — CHI 7
Q1 · 1:33CHI Touchdown
(1:33) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 2-D.Moore for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — CHI 14
Q3 · 10:08CLE Field goal
(10:08) 25-A.Szmyt 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — CHI 14
Q3 · 8:46CHI Touchdown
(8:46) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass deep right to 2-D.Moore for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 3 — CHI 21
Q3 · 0:53CHI Touchdown
(:53) 4-D.Swift right end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 3 — CHI 28
Q4 · 7:35CHI Field goal
(7:35) 8-C.Santos 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — CHI 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Bears
Offensive plays	56	63
Total yards	192	362 (edge)
Yards per play	3.4	5.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.47	0.05 (edge)
Success rate	23%	44% (edge)
Dropback rate	75%	51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.52	0.14 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.32	-0.03 (edge)
Third downs	4/14	5/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	9	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	3 (edge)
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.47.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

17/28, 242 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

3.3 expected points added · +1.4% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Shedeur SandersQB

18/35, 177 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-22.9 expected points added · -4.6% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

18 att, 98 yds, 2 TD

3.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

Kyle MonangaiRB

11 att, 33 yds, 0 TD

-2.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Isaiah BondWR

2/4 for 89 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

Luther Burden IIIWR

6/7 for 84 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 2.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CHI	CLE 47	5	6	1:12	Punt
2	CLE	CLE 1	4	7	2:30	Punt
3	CHI	CLE 42	7	37	3:43	Touchdown +7
4	CLE	CLE 30	5	14	1:41	Punt
5	CHI	CHI 20	8	80	4:25	Touchdown +7
6	CLE	CLE 23	5	1	2:20	Punt
7	CHI	CHI 23	14	70	9:28	Missed field goal
8	CLE	CLE 25	7	35	2:49	Punt
9	CHI	CHI 10	4	9	0:42	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 38	4	0	0:30	Punt
11	CHI	CHI 26	5	48	0:40	End of half
12	CLE	CLE 20	5	0	0:57	Punt
13	CHI	CHI 47	4	1	1:50	Turnover on downs
14	CLE	CHI 48	6	16	2:10	Field goal +3
15	CHI	CHI 39	5	8	1:10	Punt
16	CLE	CLE 17	1	0	0:07	Interception
17	CHI	CLE 22	2	22	0:07	Touchdown +7
18	CLE	CLE 27	6	49	2:52	Interception
19	CHI	CHI 20	10	75	5:01	Touchdown +7
20	CLE	CLE 20	5	-9	0:57	Punt
21	CHI	CHI 48	7	3	2:59	Punt
22	CLE	CLE 12	5	21	2:55	Interception
23	CHI	CLE 22	4	3	1:25	Field goal +3
24	CLE	CLE 29	17	58	7:20	Turnover on downs
25	CHI	CHI 13	1	0	0:10	End of game

6 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 80 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Shedeur Sanders	18/35	177	0	3	5	-22.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Shedeur Sanders	2	24	12.0	1.3
Quinshon Judkins	12	21	1.8	-4.9
Trayveon Williams	1	3	3.0	0.7
Harold Fannin Jr.	1	2	2.0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Isaiah Bond	2	4	89	13%	5.0
Harold Fannin Jr.	7	14	48	45%	-11.6
Jerry Jeudy	2	4	22	13%	-2.2
Malachi Corley	1	1	10	3%	1.8
Gage Larvadain	1	2	8	6%	-0.5
Trayveon Williams	2	2	4	6%	-0.4
Quinshon Judkins	3	4	-4	13%	-2.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Carson Schwesinger	4	10	0.0	0
Mohamoud Diabate	4	4	0.0	0
Ronnie Hickman Jr.	3	4	0.0	1
Tyson Campbell	3	2	0.0	0
Myles Harden	2	3	0.0	1
Jerome Baker	1	3	0.0	0
Alex Wright	1	3	1.0	0
Myles Garrett	2	2	1.5	0
Mason Graham	1	2	0.0	0
Devin Bush	1	1	0.0	0

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Caleb Williams	17/28	242	2	0	3	3.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
D'Andre Swift	18	98	5.4	2	3.5
Kyle Monangai	11	33	3.0	0	-2.6
Caleb Williams	3	13	4.3	0	-0.1
Colston Loveland	1	-2	-2.0	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Luther Burden III	6	7	84	0	26%	2.9
DJ Moore	4	5	69	2	19%	5.8
Colston Loveland	4	5	63	0	19%	5.7
Cole Kmet	2	4	28	0	15%	0.5
Kyle Monangai	0	2	0	0	7%	-2.1
Olamide Zaccheaus	0	3	0	0	11%	-1.6
D'Andre Swift	1	1	-2	0	4%	-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
T.J. Edwards	5	4	0.0	0	0
D'Marco Jackson	2	5	1.0	1	2
Jaquan Brisker	2	3	0.0	0	0
Austin Booker	3	1	2.0	0	0
Grady Jarrett	3	1	1.0	0	0
C.J. Gardner-Johnson	3	1	0.0	1	2
Nahshon Wright	1	2	0.0	0	1
Chris Williams	1	1	0.0	0	0
Kevin Byard	2	0	0.0	0	0
Jalen Reeves-Maybin	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CHI -7.5
Closing total: 38.5
CLE moneyline: +295
CHI moneyline: -375

Bears closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 34 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Soldier Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 8°F, wind 6 mph
Referee: Ron Torbert
Rest: CLE 7 days · CHI 7 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs Ben Johnson