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2025 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · SoFi Stadium

Detroit Lions

34

Los Angeles RamsWinner

41

LA -5.5 ✓O 54.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Rams 41–34. Biggest swing: Q1 8:24, DET +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LA ↑DET ↓
Q1 · 8:24DET 0 — LA 0LA ball · 2nd & 10LA 81%

(8:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 84-C.Parkinson INTERCEPTED by 97-A.Hutchinson at DET 25. 97-A.Hutchinson to LA 17 for 58 yards (84-C.Parkinson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 8:24DET +23% win prob(8:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 84-C.Parkinson INTERCEPTED by 97-A.Hutchinson at DET 25. 97-A.Hutchinson to LA 17 for 58 yards (84-C.Parkinson).
  2. Q2 · 0:36LA +15% win prob(:36) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 1-J.Williams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-B.Fiske].
  3. Q3 · 2:32LA +14% win prob(2:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 84-C.Parkinson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  4. Q2 · 6:19LA +11% win prob(6:19) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:12DET Touchdown

    (8:12) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 14-A.St. Brown for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 7 — LA 0
  2. Q1 · 2:47LA Touchdown

    (2:47) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 7 — LA 7
  3. Q2 · 12:07DET Field goal

    (12:07) 39-J.Bates 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: DET 10 — LA 7
  4. Q2 · 8:34LA Touchdown

    (8:34) 23-K.Williams left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 10 — LA 14
  5. Q2 · 6:19DET Touchdown

    (6:19) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 17 — LA 14
  6. Q2 · 0:36DET Touchdown

    (:36) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 1-J.Williams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-B.Fiske]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 24 — LA 14
  7. Q2 · 0:02LA Field goal

    (:02) 92-H.Mevis 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: DET 24 — LA 17
  8. Q3 · 9:11LA Field goal

    (9:11) 92-H.Mevis 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: DET 24 — LA 20
  9. Q3 · 2:32LA Touchdown

    (2:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 84-C.Parkinson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 24 — LA 27
  10. Q3 · 0:33LA Touchdown

    (:33) 22-B.Corum left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 24 — LA 34
  11. Q4 · 7:58DET Field goal

    (7:58) 39-J.Bates 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: DET 27 — LA 34
  12. Q4 · 4:54LA Touchdown

    (4:54) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 84-C.Parkinson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DET-21-A.Robertson was injured during the play. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 27 — LA 41
  13. Q4 · 2:47DET Touchdown

    (2:47) (Shotgun) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 5-D.Montgomery. 5-D.Montgomery right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 34 — LA 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricLionsRams
Offensive plays6269
Total yards396519 (edge)
Yards per play6.47.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.160.20 (edge)
Success rate35%59% (edge)
Dropback rate68%59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.30 (edge)0.18
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.160.22 (edge)
Third downs5/14 (edge)2/9
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)710 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2028 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs 0.16.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

24/38, 368 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

8.2 expected points added · -0.6% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

25/41, 338 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

12.8 expected points added · -0.6% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

15 att, 78 yds, 2 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Blake CorumRB

11 att, 71 yds, 1 TD

4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

9/11 for 181 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 15.8 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

13/18 for 164 yds, 2 TD

47% of team targets · 10.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DETDET 359503:48Missed field goal
2LALA 336473:00Interception
3DETLA 172170:05Touchdown +7
4LALA 2815675:23Touchdown +7
5DETDET 3513595:40Field goal +3
6LALA 318693:33Touchdown +7
7DETDET 356652:19Touchdown +7
8LALA 287173:03Punt
9DETDET 2010802:39Touchdown +7
10LALA 346470:30Field goal +3
11LALA 3312415:53Field goal +3
12DETDET 355152:28Punt
13LALA 1210884:13Touchdown +7
14DETDET 225-121:06Punt
15LA503500:52Touchdown +7
16DETDET 35531:28Punt
17LALA 20471:34Punt
18DETDET 349364:32Field goal +3
19LALA 328683:05Touchdown +7
20DETDET 3514622:07Touchdown +7
21LALA 357182:29Punt
22DETDET 201210:13End of game

13 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 88 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff25/4133830112.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jahmyr Gibbs13382.90-4.5
David Montgomery7324.611.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown1318164247%10.6
Jameson Williams710134126%8.7
Jahmyr Gibbs4720018%-1.9
Kalif Raymond112003%1.3
David Montgomery01003%-0.5
Isaac TeSlaa01003%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jack Campbell950.000
Erick Hallett550.001
Avonte Maddox330.002
D.J. Reed320.000
Rock Ya-Sin230.000
Alex Anzalone320.001
Derrick Barnes130.000
Aidan Hutchinson211.011
Amik Robertson300.002
Grant Stuard110.000

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford24/383682128.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams15785.221.6
Blake Corum11716.514.8
Puka Nacua284.00-0.3
Matthew Stafford122.00-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua911181029%15.8
Colby Parkinson5775218%-1.8
Davante Adams4971024%1.2
Davis Allen3416011%0.1
Kyren Williams111003%0.3
Tutu Atwell12905%-1.2
Terrance Ferguson12605%-1.0
Jordan Whittington01003%-1.3
Konata Mumpfield01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nate Landman540.000
Kam Curl330.000
Emmanuel Forbes420.001
Kamren Kinchens130.000
Kobie Turner221.000
Josh Wallace300.000
Byron Young120.000
Omar Speights120.000
Cobie Durant300.000
Josaiah Stewart110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -5.5
Closing total
54.5
DET moneyline
+200
LA moneyline
-245

Rams closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 54.5; the game landed 75 — over by 20.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Alan Eck
Rest
DET 10 days · LA 7 days
Coaches
Dan Campbell vs Sean McVay