2025 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Los Angeles ChargersWinner
16
Kansas City Chiefs
13
Los Angeles Chargers 16–13 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:20, LAC +26% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:20) (Shotgun) 17-G.Minshew pass deep left intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 3-D.James at LAC 18. 3-D.James to LAC 18 for no gain (87-T.Kelce).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:20LAC +26% win prob(:20) (Shotgun) 17-G.Minshew pass deep left intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 3-D.James at LAC 18. 3-D.James to LAC 18 for no gain (87-T.Kelce).
- Q4 · 13:46KC +15% win prob(13:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 80-T.Thornton to LAC 30 for 21 yards (23-T.Jefferson) [52-K.Mack]. KC-80-T.Thornton was injured during the play. PENALTY on LAC-23-T.Jefferson, Disqualification, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 30.
- Q4 · 12:47LAC +11% win prob(12:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 29-K.Hunt INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Henley at LAC 1. 0-D.Henley to LAC 1 for no gain (29-K.Hunt).
- Q4 · 0:27LAC +11% win prob(:27) (Shotgun) 17-G.Minshew pass incomplete short right.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 8:59KC Touchdown
(8:59) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 0 — KC 7 - Q1 · 2:35LAC Field goal
(2:35) 11-C.Dicker 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 3 — KC 7 - Q2 · 8:07KC Field goal
(8:07) 7-H.Butker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LAC 3 — KC 10 - Q2 · 0:42KC Field goal
(:42) 7-H.Butker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LAC 3 — KC 13 - Q2 · 0:11LAC Touchdown
(:11) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 84-K.Lambert-Smith for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 10 — KC 13 - Q3 · 8:58LAC Field goal
(8:58) 11-C.Dicker 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. ** Injury Update: KC-38-K.Knowles has returned to the game.
Score after this play: LAC 13 — KC 13 - Q3 · 0:57LAC Field goal
(:57) 11-C.Dicker 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 16 — KC 13
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chargers | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 59 |
| Total yards | 296 (edge) | 239 |
| Yards per play | 4.9 (edge) | 4.1 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.05 (edge) | -0.11 |
| Success rate | 48% (edge) | 42% |
| Dropback rate | 54% | 68% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.01 (edge) | -0.06 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.11 (edge) | -0.21 |
| Third downs | 5/14 | 7/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 4 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 | 16 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.11.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LAC
19/29, 210 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
0.4 expected points added · +5.9% completion over expected
Passing · KC
16/28, 189 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-3.6 expected points added · -5.3% completion over expected
Receiving · LAC
4/5 for 61 yds, 0 TD
19% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 32 | 13 | 53 | 6:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | LAC | LAC 29 | 12 | 36 | 6:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | KC | KC 32 | 5 | 2 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 4 | LAC | LAC 9 | 5 | 11 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 5 | KC | KC 36 | 4 | 1 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 6 | LAC | LAC 21 | 3 | -1 | 0:55 | Interception | |
| 7 | KC | LAC 19 | 7 | 10 | 2:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | LAC | LAC 24 | 10 | 22 | 5:14 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 6 | 10 | 60 | 2:12 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | LAC | LAC 40 | 7 | 60 | 0:33 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | KC | — | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | End of half | |
| 12 | LAC | LAC 29 | 12 | 71 | 6:05 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | KC | KC 29 | 5 | -11 | 1:02 | Punt | |
| 14 | LAC | LAC 32 | 6 | 13 | 2:58 | Punt | |
| 15 | KC | KC 12 | 4 | 7 | 1:24 | Punt | |
| 16 | LAC | LAC 40 | 5 | 29 | 2:40 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | KC | KC 34 | 10 | 49 | 3:10 | Interception | |
| 18 | LAC | LAC 1 | 13 | 55 | 7:21 | Punt | |
| 19 | KC | KC 8 | 12 | 68 | 5:06 | Interception | |
| 20 | LAC | LAC 18 | 1 | 0 | 0:14 | End of game |
7 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 71 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
Box score
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 19/29 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 15 | 61 | 4.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Kimani Vidal | 12 | 33 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Justin Herbert | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oronde Gadsden II | 4 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 19% | 5.2 |
| Tre Harris | 3 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 19% | 0.4 |
| Keenan Allen | 5 | 7 | 36 | 0 | 27% | 1.3 |
| Ladd McConkey | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 12% | -3.0 |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith | 1 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 4% | 4.2 |
| Kimani Vidal | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 4% | 1.3 |
| Scott Matlock | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 8% | 0.2 |
| Omarion Hampton | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 0.0 |
| Trevor Penning | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.0 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derwin James | 2 | 8 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Denzel Perryman | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Jefferson | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Benjamin St-Juste | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Williams | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Odafe Oweh | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daiyan Henley | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tuli Tuipulotu | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Da'Shawn Hand | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khalil Mack | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 16/28 | 189 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Gardner Minshew | 3/5 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 11 | 21 | 1.9 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | 2.3 |
| Kareem Hunt | 6 | 12 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Brashard Smith | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 7 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 30% | 3.9 |
| Rashee Rice | 7 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 37% | -0.6 |
| Tyquan Thornton | 2 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 10% | 4.3 |
| Xavier Worthy | 2 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 13% | 0.1 |
| Kareem Hunt | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 7% | -2.5 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drue Tranquill | 8 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Bolton | 5 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Cook | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chamarri Conner | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Watson | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nohl Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Omenihu | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Chenal | 0 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Knowles | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| George Karlaftis | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -5.5
- Closing total
- 41.5
- LAC moneyline
- +210
- KC moneyline
- -258
Chiefs closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41.5; the game landed 29 — under by 12.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- LAC 6 days · KC 7 days
- Coaches
- Jim Harbaugh vs Andy Reid
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.