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2025 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · MetLife Stadium

Washington CommandersWinner

29

New York Giants

21

NYG -2.5 upsetO 46.5 ✓27°F

Washington Commanders 29–21. Biggest swing: Q2 0:26, WAS +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑WAS ↓
Q2 · 0:26WAS 19 — NYG 7NYG ball · 2nd & 4WAS 76%

(:26) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle intended for 13-J.Hyatt INTERCEPTED by 0-M.Sainristil at WAS 21. 0-M.Sainristil to NYG 24 for 55 yards (13-J.Hyatt).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 0:26WAS +13% win prob(:26) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle intended for 13-J.Hyatt INTERCEPTED by 0-M.Sainristil at WAS 21. 0-M.Sainristil to NYG 24 for 55 yards (13-J.Hyatt).
  2. Q2 · 13:44NYG +11% win prob(13:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt up the middle for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 11:46NYG +10% win prob(11:46) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep right to 85-N.Brown to NYG 29 for 28 yards (8-J.Holland).
  4. Q2 · 1:20WAS +9% win prob(1:20) 15-C.Johnston punts 48 yards to WAS 37, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 83-J.Lane for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-46-Z.Barnes, Ineligible Downfield Kick, declined.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:26WAS Field goal

    (9:26) 16-J.Moody 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: WAS 3 — NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 13:44WAS Touchdown

    (13:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt up the middle for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 10 — NYG 0
  3. Q2 · 8:31WAS Field goal

    (8:31) 16-J.Moody 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: WAS 13 — NYG 0
  4. Q2 · 3:43NYG Touchdown

    (3:43) (Shotgun) 29-T.Tracy left tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 13 — NYG 7
  5. Q2 · 1:20WAS Touchdown

    (1:20) 15-C.Johnston punts 48 yards to WAS 37, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 83-J.Lane for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-46-Z.Barnes, Ineligible Downfield Kick, declined.

    Score after this play: WAS 19 — NYG 7
  6. Q2 · 0:04WAS Field goal

    (:04) 16-J.Moody 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: WAS 22 — NYG 7
  7. Q3 · 11:55NYG Touchdown

    (11:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep right to 29-T.Tracy for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 22 — NYG 14
  8. Q4 · 13:56WAS Touchdown

    (13:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep middle to 17-T.McLaurin for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 29 — NYG 14
  9. Q4 · 3:49NYG Touchdown

    (3:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep right to 17-W.Robinson for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-P.Smith]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 29 — NYG 21

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCommandersGiants
Offensive plays5567
Total yards343384 (edge)
Yards per play6.2 (edge)5.7
Expected points added / play0.000.02 (edge)
Success rate49% (edge)43%
Dropback rate47%66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.090.11 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.08 (edge)-0.16
Third downs3/10 (edge)2/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps1819 (edge)
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Jaxson DartQB

20/36, 246 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

1.3 expected points added · -3.8% completion over expected

Passing · WAS

Marcus MariotaQB

10/19, 211 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

1.5 expected points added · +4.2% completion over expected

Rushing · WAS

Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB

18 att, 96 yds, 1 TD

3.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB

15 att, 70 yds, 1 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Theo JohnsonTE

3/4 for 72 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 3.4 expected points added

Receiving · WAS

Terry McLaurinWR

3/4 for 69 yds, 1 TD

25% of team targets · 5.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1WASWAS 3311545:38Field goal +3
2NYGNYG 337292:23Missed field goal
3WASWAS 429204:45Punt
4NYGNYG 9491:42Punt
5WASNYG 475471:54Touchdown +7
6NYGNYG 196201:29Punt
7WASWAS 239553:43Field goal +3
8NYGNYG 3512604:49Touchdown +7
9WASWAS 23541:57Punt
10NYGNYG 254-50:35Defensive touchdown
11NYGNYG 405250:55Interception
12WASNYG 24200:10Field goal +3
13NYGNYG 189773:12Touchdown +7
14WASWAS 107262:44Punt
15NYGNYG 194111:42Punt
16WASWAS 36471:23Punt
17NYGNYG 1312696:04Missed field goal
18WASWAS 413691:09Touchdown +7
19NYGNYG 338553:24Turnover on downs
20WASWAS 48234:43Fumble
21NYGWAS 215211:56Touchdown +7
22WASWAS 145381:05Fumble
23NYGNYG 496131:01Turnover on downs
24WASWAS 38301:37End of game

8 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 77 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Washington Commanders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Marcus Mariota10/192111021.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jacory Croskey-Merritt18965.313.4
Marcus Mariota10434.301.4
Jeremy McNichols960.70-6.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Terry McLaurin3469125%5.8
Deebo Samuel Sr.3543031%1.1
Ben Sinnott113606%1.2
Noah Brown112806%3.1
John Bates111906%1.3
Jeremy McNichols111606%1.3
Jaylin Lane01006%-1.0
Treylon Burks020013%-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quan Martin540.001
Bobby Wagner610.000
Antonio Hamilton320.002
Frankie Luvu230.000
Noah Igbinoghene500.000
Jordan Magee310.000
Jer'Zhan Newton400.000
Javon Kinlaw300.000
Jeremy Reaves300.000
Will Harris120.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jaxson Dart20/362462111.3
Jameis Winston0/10000-1.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy Jr.15704.710.7
Jaxson Dart9637.003.9
Devin Singletary5132.60-3.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Theo Johnson3472011%3.4
Wan'Dale Robinson51054128%0.8
Darius Slayton41053028%-4.1
Daniel Bellinger3435011%3.6
Tyrone Tracy Jr.3427111%1.6
Isaiah Hodgins12406%-0.5
Devin Singletary11103%-0.4
Jalin Hyatt01003%-3.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Darius Muasau560.000
Dane Belton441.000
Bobby Okereke250.000
Abdul Carter521.000
Tyler Nubin520.000
Paulson Adebo330.000
Jevon Holland320.000
Roy Robertson-Harris210.000
Dexter Lawrence110.000
Chauncey Golston110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -2.5
Closing total
46.5
WAS moneyline
+124
NYG moneyline
-148

Giants closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 50 — over by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
27°F, wind 13 mph
Referee
Bill Vinovich
Rest
WAS 7 days · NYG 13 days
Coaches
Dan Quinn vs Brian Daboll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.