Steelers 29 – Lions 24 (2025 Week 16) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability

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Steelers 29 – Lions 24 (2025 Week 16) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability | Dynatyze

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Steelers	Lions
Offensive plays	70	68
Total yards	481 (edge)	362
Yards per play	6.9 (edge)	5.3
Expected points added / play	0.21 (edge)	0.10
Success rate	41%	43% (edge)
Dropback rate	64%	84%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.11	0.19 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.39 (edge)	-0.36
Third downs	8/16 (edge)	6/15
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	21
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs 0.10.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 28	5	-1	1:52	Punt
2	PIT	PIT 29	9	30	3:47	Field goal +3
3	DET	DET 34	14	63	7:14	Turnover on downs
4	PIT	PIT 3	8	31	3:37	Punt
5	DET	DET 38	8	44	3:20	Field goal +3
6	PIT	PIT 28	5	7	2:16	Punt
7	DET	DET 15	4	0	1:36	Punt
8	PIT	PIT 21	4	0	2:16	Punt
9	DET	DET 38	7	62	2:07	Touchdown +7
10	PIT	PIT 20	13	90	1:53	Touchdown +7
11	DET	DET 35	2	0	0:02	End of half
12	PIT	PIT 31	10	65	4:27	Fumble
13	DET	DET 3	3	-3	0:51	Safety
14	PIT	PIT 31	18	79	9:44	Field goal +3
15	DET	DET 14	5	0	0:33	Punt
16	PIT	PIT 39	5	61	2:02	Touchdown +7
17	DET	DET 26	12	74	3:44	Touchdown +7
18	PIT	PIT 35	5	75	1:58	Touchdown +7
19	DET	DET 32	12	73	2:30	Touchdown +7
20	PIT	PIT 34	8	43	2:06	Missed field goal
21	DET	DET 27	10	50	2:05	End of game

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 90 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Aaron Rodgers	27/41	266	1	0	2	11.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jaylen Warren	14	143	10.2	2	6.4
Kenny Gainwell	9	50	5.6	0	1.5
Jonnu Smith	2	28	14.0	0	2.0
Aaron Rodgers	2	9	4.5	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kenny Gainwell	5	7	78	1	18%	5.4
Adam Thielen	4	4	49	0	11%	5.2
DK Metcalf	4	9	42	0	24%

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Kyle Dugger	6	1	1.0	0	0
Patrick Queen	4	3	0.0	0	0
Joey Porter Jr.	4	2	0.0	0	2
Alex Highsmith

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	34/54	364	3	0	3	10.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
David Montgomery	4	14	3.5	0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jameson Williams	5	9	70	0	17%	1.9
Jahmyr Gibbs	10	13	66	1	25%	1.7
Kalif Raymond	4	5	62	1	10%	8.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown	4	9	54	0	17%	-0.9
Isaac TeSlaa	4	7	52	1	13%	3.9
Anthony Firkser	4	4	40	0	8%	3.0
Shane Zylstra	3	5	20	0	10%	-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jack Campbell	7	9	0.0	2
Alex Anzalone	3	5	0.0	1
D.J. Reed	7	1	0.0	0
Thomas Harper	4	3	0.0	1
Amik Robertson	2	2	0.0	0
Derrick Barnes	3	1	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	2	2	0.0	0
Rock Ya-Sin	2	2	0.0	1
Aidan Hutchinson	3	0	2.0	0
DJ Reader	2	1	0.0	0

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

Detroit Lions

Win probability

Highest-leverage plays

Scoring summary

Situational splits

Top performers

Drive chart

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)

Detroit Lions

Passing

Rushing

Betting context

Game environment

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)