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2025 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 28, 2025 · Paycor Stadium
14
37
Cincinnati Bengals 37–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 12:04, CIN +8% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(12:04) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 1-J.Chase to ARI 24 for 22 yards (0-W.Johnson).
How the points landed
(9:25) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 0 — CIN 7(15:00) 61-C.Ford and 62-L.Patrick reported in as eligible. 34-S.Perine right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: ARI 0 — CIN 13(11:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 14-M.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 7 — CIN 13(3:25) 2-E.McPherson 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
Score after this play: ARI 7 — CIN 16(1:17) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 7 — CIN 23(7:38) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brown left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 7 — CIN 30(1:41) 30-C.Brown right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 7 — CIN 37(1:56) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep middle to 85-T.McBride for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 14 — CIN 37Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Cardinals | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 54 | 70 |
| Total yards | 233 | 433 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.3 | 6.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.05 | 0.34 (edge) |
| Success rate | 35% | 51% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 76% | 59% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 | 0.48 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.13 | 0.15 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/13 | 10/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 12 | 27 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 3 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.34 expected points added per play vs -0.05.
Who moved the needle
Passing · CIN
24/31, 305 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
19.0 expected points added · +13.5% completion over expected
Passing · ARI
21/37, 212 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
-0.8 expected points added · -5.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | CIN 28 | 14 | 72 | 5:43 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | ARI | ARI 35 | 5 | 6 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 3 | CIN | CIN 21 | 13 | 68 | 7:50 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 4 | ARI | ARI 30 | 7 | 65 | 3:14 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | CIN | CIN 35 | 5 | -5 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 6 | ARI | ARI 33 | 4 | 2 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 7 | CIN | CIN 2 | 10 | 60 | 5:48 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 27 | 5 | 2 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 9 | CIN | ARI 36 | 4 | 36 | 1:06 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 29 | 7 | 16 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 11 | CIN | CIN 9 | 1 | 0 | 0:14 | End of half | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 32 | 5 | -3 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 13 | CIN | CIN 16 | 12 | 79 | 6:24 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 17 | 5 | 1 | 1:10 | Punt | |
| 15 | CIN | CIN 18 | 11 | 82 | 4:45 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | ARI | ARI 29 | 14 | 52 | 4:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | CIN | CIN 14 | 11 | 41 | 5:46 | Punt | |
| 18 | ARI | ARI 8 | 17 | 92 | 4:30 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | CIN | CIN 35 | 4 | 0 | 1:50 | End of game |
8 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 92 scrimmage yards over 17 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | 21/37 | 212 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Carter | 7 | 29 | 4.1 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Emari Demercado | 5 | 11 | 2.2 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Corey Kiner | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson | 5 | 10 | 89 | 1 | 29% | 4.4 |
| Trey McBride | 10 | 13 | 76 | 1 | 37% | 3.0 |
| Xavier Weaver | 2 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 9% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Simon | 4 | 11 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dadrion Taylor-Demerson | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darren Hall | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Denzel Burke |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 24/31 | 305 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19.0 |
| Joe Flacco | 3/5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Bengals closed -7 and covered, winning by 23.
Total closed 52.5; the game landed 51 — under by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
| 2.9 |
| Michael Carter | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 11% | -0.4 |
| Emari Demercado | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 9% | -2.5 |
| Elijah Higgins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.6 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.0 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Akeem Davis-Gaither | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Zachary Carter | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Robinson | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Johnson | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dante Stills | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Chase Brown | 22 | 101 | 4.6 | 2 | 2.2 |
| Tahj Brooks | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Samaje Perine | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.4 |
| Joe Burrow | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Joe Flacco | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 7 | 9 | 60 | 2 | 27% | 4.9 |
| Tee Higgins | 4 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 15% | 5.2 |
| Mike Gesicki | 2 | 2 | 47 | 0 | 6% | 4.1 |
| Andrei Iosivas | 4 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 18% | 1.3 |
| Chase Brown | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 9% | 1.0 |
| Tanner Hudson | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 6% | 4.7 |
| Cody Ford | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3% | 1.7 |
| Tahj Brooks | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.6 |
| Samaje Perine | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 1.3 |
| Drew Sample | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.5 |
| Ke'Shawn Williams | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 0.0 |
| Noah Fant | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Giles-Harris | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Murphy | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demetrius Knight Jr. | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cedric Johnson | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geno Stone | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Barrett Carter | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bralyn Lux | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tedarrell Slaton | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Ivey | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
