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2025 Week 17 · Thu, Dec 25, 2025 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
20
13
Denver Broncos 20–13. Biggest swing: Q4 2:00, KC +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(2:00) (Shotgun) 73-F.Crum reported in as eligible. PENALTY on KC-95-C.Jones, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at KC 9 - No Play.
How the points landed
(7:02) 3-W.Lutz 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
Score after this play: DEN 3 — KC 0(12:56) (Shotgun) 19-C.Oladokun pass short right to 24-B.Smith for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 3 — KC 7(:22) 3-W.Lutz 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
Score after this play: DEN 6 — KC 7(11:47) 7-H.Butker 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: DEN 6 — KC 10(2:02) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix scrambles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 13 — KC 10(8:08) 7-H.Butker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: DEN 13 — KC 13(1:50) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [27-C.Conner]. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 20 — KC 13Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Broncos | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 70 | 41 |
| Total yards | 304 (edge) | 139 |
| Yards per play | 4.3 (edge) | 3.4 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.10 (edge) | -0.20 |
| Success rate | 51% (edge) | 29% |
| Dropback rate | 63% | 59% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.16 (edge) | -0.34 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 | -0.00 (edge) |
| Third downs | 11/18 (edge) | 4/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 (edge) | 2 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 9 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.20.
Who moved the needle
Passing · DEN
Bo NixQB
26/38, 182 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
2.9 expected points added · +3.6% completion over expected
Passing · KC
13/22, 66 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-8.5 expected points added · -1.8% completion over expected
Receiving · DEN
4/10 for 40 yds, 0 TD
27% of team targets · -1.1 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 35 | 15 | 56 | 8:02 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | KC | KC 26 | 8 | 15 | 3:12 | Punt | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 19 | 3 | -2 | 0:53 | Interception | |
| 4 | KC | DEN 35 | 11 | 35 | 5:04 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | DEN | DEN 35 | 7 | 13 | 2:18 | Punt | |
| 6 | KC | KC 18 | 5 | 20 | 2:08 | Punt | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 10 | 16 | 84 | 8:04 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | KC | KC 24 | 2 | 9 | 0:19 | End of half | |
| 9 | KC | KC 37 | 7 | 1 | 3:18 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 28 | 16 | 82 | 9:47 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | KC | KC 35 | 5 | -1 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 20 | 7 | 11 | 3:52 | Punt | |
| 13 | KC | DEN 45 | 6 | 16 | 2:56 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | DEN | DEN 35 | 16 | 60 | 6:18 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | KC | KC 35 | 9 | 44 | 1:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 26 | 1 | 0 | 0:14 | End of game |
7 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 84 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 26/38 | 182 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Harvey | 14 | 43 | 3.1 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Bo Nix | 9 | 42 | 4.7 | 1 | 5.1 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 7 | 40 | 5.7 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Adam Prentice | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 4 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 27% | -1.1 |
| RJ Harvey | 5 | 6 | 33 | 1 | 16% | 4.4 |
| Adam Trautman | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 5% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Surtain II | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Jones | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malcolm Roach | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Singleton |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Oladokun | 13/22 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 7 | 38 | 5.4 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Broncos closed -13.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 33 — under by 4.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2.3 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 2 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 14% | -1.6 |
| Evan Engram | 4 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 11% | -0.5 |
| Troy Franklin | 4 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 11% | 0.8 |
| Michael Bandy | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 5% | 1.9 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 11% | -0.8 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| P.J. Locke | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahdae Barron | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eyioma Uwazurike | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Moss | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Talanoa Hufanga | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dondrea Tillman | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.9 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Chris Oladokun | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Xavier Worthy | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 5 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 30% | 1.4 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 15% | -0.1 |
| Marquise Brown | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 15% | -3.1 |
| Brashard Smith | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 20% | -1.0 |
| Noah Gray | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5% | -0.5 |
| Xavier Worthy | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15% | -3.0 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Bolton | 6 | 6 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chamarri Conner | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drue Tranquill | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Cook | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nohl Williams | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Omenihu | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashton Gillotte | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristian Fulton | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| George Karlaftis | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Hicks | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
