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2025 Week 17 · Thu, Dec 25, 2025 · U.S. Bank Stadium
10
23
Minnesota Vikings 23–10. Biggest swing: Q4 3:52, MIN +22% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(3:52) 3-J.Addison right end for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
How the points landed
(1:38) 33-A.Jones left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 0 — MIN 7(1:10) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 18-I.TeSlaa for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: DET-58-P.Sewell has returned to the game. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 7 — MIN 7(3:07) 16-W.Reichard 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: DET 7 — MIN 10(2:02) 16-W.Reichard 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: DET 7 — MIN 13(4:44) 39-J.Bates 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 10 — MIN 13(3:52) 3-J.Addison right end for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 10 — MIN 20(1:08) 16-W.Reichard 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: DET 10 — MIN 23Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Lions | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 51 |
| Total yards | 231 (edge) | 161 |
| Yards per play | 3.6 (edge) | 3.2 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.46 | -0.28 (edge) |
| Success rate | 31% (edge) | 29% |
| Dropback rate | 53% | 49% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.23 (edge) | -0.63 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.72 | 0.06 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/14 (edge) | 3/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 (edge) | 8 |
| Sacks taken | 5 (edge) | 7 |
| Turnovers | 6 | 0 (edge) |
Lions outgained Vikings 231–161 but lost the turnover battle 6–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · DET
18/29, 197 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-7.9 expected points added · -9.0% completion over expected
Passing · MIN
9/16, 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-17.6 expected points added · -9.4% completion over expected
Receiving · DET
8/13 for 68 yds, 0 TD
45% of team targets · -0.4 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | MIN 25 | 5 | -6 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 2 | DET | DET 37 | 5 | 18 | 2:49 | Punt | |
| 3 | MIN | MIN 20 | 10 | 24 | 5:59 | Punt | |
| 4 | DET | DET 9 | 3 | 9 | 0:53 | Fumble | |
| 5 | MIN | DET 16 | 6 | 16 | 2:07 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | DET | DET 30 | 5 | 17 | 2:20 | Fumble | |
| 7 | MIN | DET 47 | 4 | -2 | 3:02 | Punt | |
| 8 | DET | DET 20 | 20 | 80 | 10:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | MIN | MIN 35 | 5 | 4 | 0:47 | Punt | |
| 10 | DET | DET 20 | 1 | -5 | 0:18 | End of half | |
| 11 | DET | DET 33 | 7 | 19 | 3:55 | Punt | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 14 | 4 | 7 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 13 | DET | DET 36 | 3 | -8 | 1:36 | Interception | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 38 | 9 | 23 | 4:54 | Field goal +3 | |
| 15 | DET | DET 30 | 2 | 0 | 0:11 | Interception | |
| 16 | MIN | DET 42 | 4 | 4 | 0:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | DET | DET 34 | 5 | 6 | 2:03 | Fumble | |
| 18 | MIN | DET 40 | 4 | 0 | 1:59 | Punt | |
| 19 | DET | DET 16 | 7 | 13 | 4:02 | Punt | |
| 20 | MIN | MIN 1 | 4 | 5 | 1:41 | Punt | |
| 21 | DET | DET 45 | 7 | 25 | 2:33 | Field goal +3 | |
| 22 | MIN | MIN 35 | 4 | 65 | 0:56 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 23 | DET | DET 35 | 5 | 22 | 0:38 | Fumble | |
| 24 | MIN | DET 45 | 7 | 21 | 2:01 | Field goal +3 | |
| 25 | DET | DET 35 | 5 | 35 | 1:04 | End of game |
7 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 80 scrimmage yards over 20 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 18/29 | 197 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 17 | 41 | 2.4 | 0 | -10.2 |
| David Montgomery | 10 | 25 | 2.5 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Jared Goff | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 8 | 13 | 68 | 0 | 45% | -0.4 |
| Isaac TeSlaa | 3 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 14% | 6.8 |
| Jameson Williams | 2 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 10% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Thomas | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Hutchinson | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Campbell | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Barnes |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Brosmer | 9/16 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -17.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Addison | 1 | 65 | 65.0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Lions closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 33 — under by 12.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2.0 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 10% | -0.8 |
| David Montgomery | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7% | 0.4 |
| Kalif Raymond | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7% | -2.8 |
| Giovanni Ricci | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.9 |
| Anthony Firkser | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Marcus Davenport | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rock Ya-Sin | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Mills | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Malcolm Rodriguez | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Reed | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Harper | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.9 |
| Aaron Jones | 18 | 53 | 2.9 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Ty Chandler | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Max Brosmer | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 1.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 4 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 36% | 0.7 |
| Aaron Jones | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 29% | -2.9 |
| Josh Oliver | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14% | 0.2 |
| Ben Sims | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7% | -0.5 |
| Jordan Addison | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -0.6 |
| Jalen Nailor | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -1.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Cashman | 6 | 11 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Allen | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Hargrave | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Ward | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dallas Turner | 2 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Wilson | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Rodgers | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Theo Jackson | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Smith | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 |
