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2025 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 28, 2025 · MetLife Stadium
42
10
New England Patriots 42–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 10:46, NYJ +5% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(10:46) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass short right to 81-A.Hooper for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
How the points landed
(10:46) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass short right to 81-A.Hooper for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 7 — NYJ 0(5:09) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 14 — NYJ 0(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 38-R.Stevenson for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 21 — NYJ 0(9:59) 6-N.Folk 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
Score after this play: NE 21 — NYJ 3(3:03) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 8-S.Diggs for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 28 — NYJ 3(:37) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 85-H.Henry for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 35 — NYJ 3(8:21) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 86-E.Chism for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 42 — NYJ 3(15:00) 20-B.Hall up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 42 — NYJ 10Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Patriots | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 60 | 63 |
| Total yards | 441 (edge) | 307 |
| Yards per play | 7.3 (edge) | 4.9 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.49 (edge) | -0.20 |
| Success rate | 57% (edge) | 35% |
| Dropback rate | 47% | 56% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 1.12 (edge) | -0.35 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.07 | -0.01 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/9 (edge) | 5/16 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 12 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 25 (edge) | 13 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Patriots won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.49 expected points added per play vs -0.20.
Who moved the needle
Passing · NE
19/21, 256 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT
29.2 expected points added · +29.3% completion over expected
Passing · NYJ
19/33, 152 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-15.2 expected points added · -7.0% completion over expected
Receiving · NE
5/5 for 55 yds, 1 TD
20% of team targets · 4.9 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | NE 39 | 9 | 61 | 4:18 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | NYJ | NYJ 29 | 5 | 8 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 3 | NE | NE 15 | 8 | 67 | 4:07 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | NYJ | NYJ 36 | 4 | 5 | 1:31 | Interception | |
| 5 | NE | NE 34 | 8 | 71 | 3:40 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | NYJ | NYJ 30 | 10 | 49 | 4:59 | Field goal +3 | |
| 7 | NE | NE 26 | 13 | 69 | 6:55 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | NYJ | NYJ 35 | 5 | 6 | 1:13 | Punt | |
| 9 | NE | NE 9 | 11 | 76 | 1:17 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | NYJ | NYJ 35 | 4 | 9 | 0:31 | End of half | |
| 11 | NYJ | NYJ 35 | 9 | 12 | 3:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | NE | NYJ 47 | 7 | 47 | 3:30 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 13 | NYJ | NYJ 28 | 7 | 33 | 2:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | NE | NE 34 | 7 | 43 | 3:43 | Missed field goal | |
| 15 | NYJ | NYJ 31 | 5 | 69 | 1:57 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | NE | NE 27 | 5 | 3 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 17 | NYJ | NYJ 22 | 15 | 75 | 8:51 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | NE | NE 9 | 4 | 4 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 19 | NYJ | NYJ 42 | 10 | 41 | 1:35 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | NE | NE 17 | 2 | 0 | 0:51 | End of game |
8 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Patriots gained 76 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 19/21 | 256 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 29.2 |
| Joshua Dobbs | 3/4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson | 19 | 82 | 4.3 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 8 | 47 | 5.9 | 1 | 1.0 |
| Drake Maye | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 3.7 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Joshua Dobbs |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 | 24% | 10.9 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 5 | 5 | 55 | 1 | 20% | 4.9 |
| Hunter Henry | 3 | 3 | 49 | 1 | 12% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahlani Tavai | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dell Pettus | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brenden Schooler | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Gibbens |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Cook | 19/33 | 152 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -15.2 |
| Austin McNamara | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Patriots closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 32.
Total closed 42.5; the game landed 52 — over by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2 |
| -1 |
| -0.5 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 5.9 |
| Efton Chism III | 2 | 2 | 40 | 1 | 8% | 4.7 |
| Kyle Williams | 3 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 20% | 0.7 |
| Austin Hooper | 2 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 8% | 1.3 |
| DeMario Douglas | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 8% | 0.6 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Chad Muma | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Gonzalez | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leonard Taylor III | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anfernee Jennings | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Battle | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Breece Hall | 14 | 111 | 7.9 | 1 | 4.1 |
| Kene Nwangwu | 6 | 31 | 5.2 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Isaiah Davis | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Isaiah Williams | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Khalil Herbert | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Brady Cook | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Metchie III | 3 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 9% | 2.4 |
| Isaiah Williams | 4 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 16% | -2.2 |
| Adonai Mitchell | 3 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 28% | -7.6 |
| Breece Hall | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 9% | -0.3 |
| Stone Smartt | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 9% | 2.3 |
| Isaiah Davis | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | -0.9 |
| Arian Smith | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 0.1 |
| Jelani Woods | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 0.1 |
| Tyler Johnson | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -2.4 |
| Malachi Moore | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2.9 |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9% | -3.9 |
| Khalil Herbert | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwan'tez Stiggers | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malachi Moore | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamien Sherwood | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Williams | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jowon Briggs | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Phillips | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Payton Page | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Clark | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ja'Sir Taylor | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Stephens | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
