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2025 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · MetLife Stadium
17
34
New York Giants 34–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:31, NYG +26% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-J.Houston].
How the points landed
(9:20) 30-B.Sauls 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: DAL 0 — NYG 3(5:24) 17-B.Aubrey 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 3 — NYG 3(1:20) 30-B.Sauls 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: DAL 3 — NYG 6(:32) (Shotgun) 23-J.Blue up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 6(9:48) 30-B.Sauls 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 9(:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-J.Houston]. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 16(9:53) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 29-T.Tracy for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-J.Houston]. Penalty on DAL-92-Q.Williams, Unnecessary Roughness, declined. PENALTY on DAL-41-D.Ezeiruaku, Disqualification, 1 yard, enforced between downs. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 24(15:00) 37-P.Mafah right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 17 — NYG 24(9:25) 30-B.Sauls 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: DAL 17 — NYG 27(5:54) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 17 — NYG 34Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Cowboys | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 53 | 70 |
| Total yards | 287 | 382 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.4 | 5.5 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.13 | 0.13 (edge) |
| Success rate | 43% | 47% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 49% | 59% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.23 | 0.22 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.03 | 0.02 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/8 | 8/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 | 24 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 (edge) |
Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.13.
Who moved the needle
Passing · NYG
22/32, 230 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
13.8 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected
Passing · DAL
7/13, 73 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-5.2 expected points added · -6.3% completion over expected
Receiving · NYG
8/9 for 102 yds, 0 TD
28% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | NYG 40 | 8 | 11 | 2:32 | Punt | |
| 2 | DAL | DAL 1 | 5 | 29 | 2:25 | Fumble | |
| 3 | NYG | DAL 28 | 4 | 2 | 0:48 | Field goal +3 | |
| 4 | DAL | DAL 35 | 10 | 61 | 3:54 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | NYG | NYG 39 | 9 | 44 | 4:04 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | DAL | NYG 11 | 4 | 11 | 0:49 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | NYG | NYG 35 | 12 | 61 | 5:43 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | DAL | DAL 32 | 13 | 65 | 6:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | NYG | NYG 4 | 12 | 96 | 2:29 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | DAL | DAL 19 | 2 | 0 | 0:20 | End of half | |
| 11 | DAL | DAL 12 | 5 | 6 | 2:25 | Punt | |
| 12 | NYG | NYG 38 | 7 | 54 | 2:47 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 13 | DAL | DAL 21 | 8 | 40 | 2:57 | Missed field goal | |
| 14 | NYG | NYG 47 | 4 | 28 | 1:46 | Fumble | |
| 15 | DAL | DAL 31 | 11 | 56 | 5:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | NYG | NYG 27 | 12 | 43 | 5:34 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | DAL | DAL 27 | 2 | 0 | 0:13 | Interception | |
| 18 | NYG | DAL 33 | 7 | 28 | 3:23 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | DAL | DAL 26 | 7 | 14 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 20 | NYG | NYG 21 | 7 | 15 | 4:01 | Punt | |
| 21 | DAL | DAL 38 | 1 | 5 | 0:19 | End of game |
10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 96 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Milton III | 7/13 | 73 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Dak Prescott | 7/11 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Blue | 16 | 64 | 4.0 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Joe Milton III | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 0 | 3.3 |
| Phil Mafah | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 1 | 1.1 |
| Hunter Luepke | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| KaVontae Turpin |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Flournoy | 5 | 7 | 68 | 0 | 30% | 3.9 |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford | 2 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 13% | -2.6 |
| Luke Schoonmaker | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 4% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shemar James | 3 | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Williams | 2 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Wilson | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Caelen Carson |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart | 22/32 | 230 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13.8 |
| Gunner Olszewski | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Cowboys closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 50.5; the game landed 51 — over by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 7.0 |
| 0 |
| 0.4 |
| Dak Prescott | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 | -5.5 |
| 0.7 |
| Phil Mafah | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 9% | -0.1 |
| George Pickens | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 13% | -3.8 |
| Jake Ferguson | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9% | -0.5 |
| Hunter Luepke | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | -1.0 |
| CeeDee Lamb | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 0.4 |
| KaVontae Turpin | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.6 |
| Jalen Tolbert | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.0 |
| Jonathan Mingo | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.2 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Reddy Steward | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Butler | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trikweze Bridges | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jadeveon Clowney | 4 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Donovan Wilson | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Hooker | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | 18 | 103 | 5.7 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Jaxson Dart | 5 | 32 | 6.4 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Devin Singletary | 9 | 26 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunner Olszewski | 8 | 9 | 102 | 0 | 28% | 6.6 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | 8 | 9 | 56 | 1 | 28% | -0.4 |
| Daniel Bellinger | 2 | 2 | 38 | 1 | 6% | 5.7 |
| Darius Slayton | 4 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 28% | 2.7 |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -2.2 |
| Chris Manhertz | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Belton | 8 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rico Payton | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bobby Okereke | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Raheem Layne | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Alexander | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paulson Adebo | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Art Green | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andru Phillips | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roy Robertson-Harris | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Burns | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
