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2025 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · MetLife Stadium

Dallas Cowboys

17

New York GiantsWinner

34

DAL -3 upsetO 50.5 ✓

New York Giants 34–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:31, NYG +26% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑DAL ↓
Q2 · 0:31DAL 10 — NYG 15NYG ball · 3rd & 16DAL 63%

(:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-J.Houston].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 0:31NYG +26% win prob(:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-J.Houston].
  2. Q1 · 1:17NYG +12% win prob12-J.Gillan kicks 60 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin to NYG 11 for 84 yards (23-A.Green).
  3. Q4 · 14:10NYG +11% win prob(14:10) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep right to 89-I.Hodgins (21-C.Carson) [90-S.Thomas]. PENALTY on DAL-21-C.Carson, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at NYG 18 - No Play.
  4. Q1 · 10:06DAL +11% win prob(10:06) 4-D.Prescott FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 29, RECOVERED by NYG-58-B.Okereke at DAL 28.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:20NYG Field goal

    (9:20) 30-B.Sauls 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: DAL 0 — NYG 3
  2. Q1 · 5:24DAL Field goal

    (5:24) 17-B.Aubrey 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — NYG 3
  3. Q1 · 1:20NYG Field goal

    (1:20) 30-B.Sauls 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — NYG 6
  4. Q1 · 0:32DAL Touchdown

    (:32) (Shotgun) 23-J.Blue up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 6
  5. Q2 · 9:48NYG Field goal

    (9:48) 30-B.Sauls 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 9
  6. Q2 · 0:31NYG Touchdown

    (:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-J.Houston]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 16
  7. Q3 · 9:53NYG Touchdown

    (9:53) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 29-T.Tracy for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-J.Houston]. Penalty on DAL-92-Q.Williams, Unnecessary Roughness, declined. PENALTY on DAL-41-D.Ezeiruaku, Disqualification, 1 yard, enforced between downs. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — NYG 24
  8. Q4 · 15:00DAL Touchdown

    (15:00) 37-P.Mafah right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — NYG 24
  9. Q4 · 9:25NYG Field goal

    (9:25) 30-B.Sauls 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — NYG 27
  10. Q4 · 5:54NYG Touchdown

    (5:54) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — NYG 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysGiants
Offensive plays5370
Total yards287382 (edge)
Yards per play5.45.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.130.13 (edge)
Success rate43%47% (edge)
Dropback rate49%59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.230.22 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.030.02 (edge)
Third downs2/88/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)89 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1724 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)4
Turnovers31 (edge)

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.13.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Jaxson DartQB

22/32, 230 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

13.8 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Joe Milton IIIQB

7/13, 73 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-5.2 expected points added · -6.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB

18 att, 103 yds, 0 TD

1.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Jaydon BlueRB

16 att, 64 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Gunner OlszewskiWR

8/9 for 102 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Ryan FlournoyWR

5/7 for 68 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 3.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 408112:32Punt
2DALDAL 15292:25Fumble
3NYGDAL 28420:48Field goal +3
4DALDAL 3510613:54Field goal +3
5NYGNYG 399444:04Field goal +3
6DALNYG 114110:49Touchdown +7
7NYGNYG 3512615:43Field goal +3
8DALDAL 3213656:56Turnover on downs
9NYGNYG 412962:29Touchdown +7
10DALDAL 19200:20End of half
11DALDAL 12562:25Punt
12NYGNYG 387542:47Touchdown +8
13DALDAL 218402:57Missed field goal
14NYGNYG 474281:46Fumble
15DALDAL 3111565:08Touchdown +7
16NYGNYG 2712435:34Field goal +3
17DALDAL 27200:13Interception
18NYGDAL 337283:23Touchdown +7
19DALDAL 267141:27Punt
20NYGNYG 217154:01Punt
21DALDAL 38150:19End of game

10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 96 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Milton III7/1373010-5.2
Dak Prescott7/1170000-1.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jaydon Blue16644.01-1.2
Joe Milton III44310.803.3
Phil Mafah5183.611.1
Hunter Luepke2126.001.3
KaVontae Turpin177.000.4
Dak Prescott2-1-0.50-5.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Ryan Flournoy5768030%3.9
Brevyn Spann-Ford2330013%-2.6
Luke Schoonmaker111204%0.7
Phil Mafah221109%-0.1
George Pickens139013%-3.8
Jake Ferguson12509%-0.5
Hunter Luepke11404%-1.0
CeeDee Lamb11404%0.4
KaVontae Turpin01004%-0.6
Jalen Tolbert01004%-1.0
Jonathan Mingo01004%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Shemar James3100.500
Sam Williams260.000
Logan Wilson340.001
Caelen Carson420.000
Reddy Steward420.000
Josh Butler320.000
Trikweze Bridges230.000
Jadeveon Clowney413.001
Donovan Wilson320.000
Osa Odighizuwa040.500

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jaxson Dart22/3223020413.8
Gunner Olszewski0/10000-0.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy Jr.181035.701.1
Jaxson Dart5326.401.0
Devin Singletary9262.91-1.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Gunner Olszewski89102028%6.6
Tyrone Tracy Jr.8956128%-0.4
Daniel Bellinger223816%5.7
Darius Slayton4934028%2.7
Chris Manhertz01003%-0.8
Isaiah Hodgins02006%-2.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dane Belton850.000
Rico Payton340.001
Bobby Okereke330.011
Darius Alexander220.000
Raheem Layne400.000
Art Green210.000
Roy Robertson-Harris210.000
Andru Phillips210.000
Paulson Adebo120.001
Dalen Cambre110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -3
Closing total
50.5
DAL moneyline
-166
NYG moneyline
+140

Cowboys closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 51 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
33°F, wind 7 mph
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
DAL 10 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches
Brian Schottenheimer vs Brian Daboll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.