Saints 17 – Falcons 19 (2025 Week 18) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability

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Saints 17 – Falcons 19 (2025 Week 18) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability | Dynatyze

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Saints	Falcons
Offensive plays	65	58
Total yards	340 (edge)	210
Yards per play	5.2 (edge)	3.6
Expected points added / play	-0.11 (edge)	-0.25
Success rate	37% (edge)	33%
Dropback rate	65%	62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.14 (edge)	-0.16
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08 (edge)	-0.39
Third downs	5/16 (edge)	4/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4 (edge)	2
First downs gained on snaps	16 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	4	4
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Saints outgained Falcons 340–210 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ATL	ATL 25	5	-2	2:10	Punt
2	NO	NO 19	1	19	0:11	Fumble
3	ATL	NO 39	8	27	4:33	Interception
4	NO	NO 14	4	9	1:57	Punt
5	ATL	ATL 27	5	5	1:49	Punt
6	NO	NO 11	4	2	1:02	Punt
7	ATL	NO 5	3	15	0:16	Touchdown +7
8	NO	NO 26	8	41	3:49	Missed field goal
9	ATL	ATL 47	8	31	3:54	Field goal +3
10	NO	NO 35	12	63	5:48	Touchdown +7
11	ATL	ATL 32	5	4	1:43	Punt
12	NO	NO 20	7	17	2:07	Punt
13	ATL	ATL 18	7	33	0:41	End of half
14	NO	NO 40	8	-2	3:57	Punt
15	ATL	ATL 26	6	41	2:13	Field goal +3
16	NO	NO 33	15	66	6:35	Field goal +3
17	ATL	ATL 36	14	45	6:32	Field goal +3
18	NO	NO 25	5	5	1:03	Punt
19	ATL	ATL 24	6	4	3:17	Punt
20	NO	NO 25	7	55	3:09	Interception
21	ATL	NO 27	4	7	0:22	Field goal +3
22	NO	NO 35	9	65	1:41	Touchdown +7
23	ATL	NO 43	3	0	1:11	End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 66 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Tyler Shough	23/35	259	1	1	4	-2.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Audric Estimé	21	63	3.0	0	-2.0
Tyler Shough	3	34	11.3	1	2.4
Evan Hull	2	11	5.5	0	0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Juwan Johnson	3	5	61	15%	1.3
Dante Pettis	5	5	60	15%	2.4
Audric Estimé	5	5	43	15%

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Carl Granderson	4	5	1.5	1	1
Demario Davis	1	5	0.0	0	0
Chase Young	2	3	1.5	0	1
Jonah Williams

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kirk Cousins	18/32	180	1	1	4	-5.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Bijan Robinson	15	33	2.2	0

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Drake London	4	8	78	1	27%	4.5
Kyle Pitts	6	9	58	0	30%	-0.7
Darnell Mooney	3	7	20	0	23%	-0.4
David Sills	1	1	11	0	3%	0.0
Bijan Robinson	3	3	10	0	10%	-0.9
Tyler Allgeier	1	2	3	0	7%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Dee Alford	5	4	0.0	1	2
Divine Deablo	1	7	0.0	0	1
C.J. Henderson	3	4	0.0	0	2
Xavier Watts	4	3	0.0	0	1
Kaden Elliss	2	4	0.0	0	1
David Onyemata	1	5	0.0	0	0
LaCale London	1	3	1.0	0	0
A.J. Terrell	3	1	0.0	0	0
Kentavius Street	3	1	1.0	0	0
Jessie Bates	2	1	0.0	0	0

New Orleans Saints

Atlanta FalconsWinner

Win probability

Highest-leverage plays

Scoring summary

Situational splits

Top performers

Drive chart

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

Rushing

Betting context

Game environment

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)