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2025 Divisional Round · Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · Lumen Field

San Francisco 49ers

6

Seattle SeahawksWinner

41

SEA -6.5 ✓O 44.5 ✓

Seattle Seahawks 41–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 15:00, SEA +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SEA ↑SF ↓
Q1 · 15:00SF 0 — SEA 6SEA ballSEA 71%

18-E.Pineiro kicks 60 yards from SF 35 to SEA 5. 22-R.Shaheed for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SF-18-E.Pineiro, Tripping, 8 yards, enforced between downs.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 15:00SEA +18% win prob18-E.Pineiro kicks 60 yards from SF 35 to SEA 5. 22-R.Shaheed for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SF-18-E.Pineiro, Tripping, 8 yards, enforced between downs.
  2. Q1 · 4:24SF +5% win prob(4:24) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 88-J.Tonges to SF 42 for 11 yards (13-E.Jones; 21-D.Witherspoon). FUMBLES (13-E.Jones), RECOVERED by SEA-20-J.Love at SF 43. 20-J.Love to SF 42 for 1 yard (44-K.Juszczyk).
  3. Q1 · 14:41SEA +5% win prob(14:41) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 15-J.Jennings pushed ob at SF 44 for 4 yards (42-D.Thomas).
  4. Q1 · 14:05SEA +3% win prob(14:05) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 88-J.Tonges ran ob at SEA 49 for 7 yards.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 15:00SEA Touchdown

    18-E.Pineiro kicks 60 yards from SF 35 to SEA 5. 22-R.Shaheed for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SF-18-E.Pineiro, Tripping, 8 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SF 0 — SEA 7
  2. Q1 · 5:10SEA Field goal

    (5:10) 5-J.Myers 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SF 0 — SEA 10
  3. Q1 · 1:55SEA Touchdown

    (1:55) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SF 0 — SEA 17
  4. Q2 · 12:01SF Field goal

    (12:01) 18-E.Pineiro 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: SF 3 — SEA 17
  5. Q2 · 4:37SF Field goal

    (4:37) 18-E.Pineiro 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: SF 6 — SEA 17
  6. Q2 · 0:36SEA Touchdown

    (:36) 9-K.Walker left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SF 6 — SEA 24
  7. Q3 · 7:10SEA Field goal

    (7:10) 5-J.Myers 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SF 6 — SEA 27
  8. Q3 · 2:28SEA Touchdown

    (2:28) 9-K.Walker left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SF 6 — SEA 34
  9. Q4 · 12:47SEA Touchdown

    (12:47) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SF 6 — SEA 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric49ersSeahawks
Offensive plays6052
Total yards236281 (edge)
Yards per play3.95.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.460.21 (edge)
Success rate33%54% (edge)
Dropback rate63%37%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.480.28 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.410.17 (edge)
Third downs6/12 (edge)4/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)16 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1617 (edge)
Sacks taken22
Turnovers30 (edge)

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs -0.46.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Brock PurdyQB

15/27, 140 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-11.5 expected points added · -2.9% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Sam DarnoldQB

12/17, 124 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

5.3 expected points added · +11.5% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth Walker IIIRB

19 att, 116 yds, 3 TD

8.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Brock PurdyQB

5 att, 37 yds, 0 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Cooper KuppWR

5/5 for 60 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 5.6 expected points added

Receiving · SF

Jake TongesTE

5/6 for 59 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 1.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1SEA—200:13Defensive touchdown +7
2SFSF 408173:31Turnover on downs
3SEASEA 4311496:10Field goal +3
4SFSF 283140:49Fumble
5SEASF 426192:27Touchdown +7
6SFSF 3511434:52Field goal +3
7SEASEA 37581:46Punt
8SFSF 510575:40Field goal +3
9SEASEA 2012754:01Touchdown +7
10SFSF 305180:31End of half
11SFSF 288142:54Turnover on downs
12SEASF 428364:59Field goal +3
13SFSF 313110:58Interception
14SEASF 477473:46Touchdown +7
15SFSF 31571:42Turnover on downs
16SEASF 376372:58Touchdown +7
17SFSF 358243:31Fumble
18SEASEA 41412:22Punt
19SFSF 197162:27Punt
20SEASEA 14492:29Punt
21SFSF 213151:54End of game

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 75 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Brock Purdy15/27140012-11.5
Mac Jones2/44000-2.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Brock Purdy5377.400.7
Christian McCaffrey11353.20-2.6
Jordan James6284.70-0.9
Mac Jones177.001.3
Brian Robinson341.30-2.3
Kyle Juszczyk1-3-3.00-3.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jake Tonges5659022%1.1
Christian McCaffrey5639022%2.0
Jauan Jennings2523019%-0.7
Kyle Juszczyk111104%0.7
Jordan James11704%0.8
Brian Robinson11304%-0.3
Demarcus Robinson11104%-0.4
Luke Farrell12107%-5.7
Ricky Pearsall02007%-2.4
Kendrick Bourne02007%-3.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dee Winters440.000
Eric Kendricks350.000
Malik Mustapha531.000
Renardo Green410.000
Marques Sigle320.000
Deommodore Lenoir210.000
Sam Okuayinonu210.000
Upton Stout110.000
Clelin Ferrell110.000
CJ West201.000

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Sam Darnold12/171241025.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kenneth Walker III191166.138.2
Rashid Shaheed22713.500.3
Zach Charbonnet5204.00-0.0
Velus Jones Jr.6101.70-3.2
AJ Barner122.000.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cooper Kupp5560031%5.6
Kenneth Walker III3329019%3.2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba3419125%0.2
Jake Bobo111606%2.0
Rashid Shaheed020013%-2.0
Robbie Ouzts01006%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devon Witherspoon340.001
Drake Thomas330.000
Ernest Jones420.011
Tyrice Knight500.000
Coby Bryant400.001
Nick Emmanwori210.001
Brandon Pili210.000
Mike Morris120.000
DeMarcus Lawrence301.001
Jarran Reed120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -6.5
Closing total
44.5
SF moneyline
+245
SEA moneyline
-305

Seahawks closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 35.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 47 — over by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lumen Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
46°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
SF 6 days · SEA 14 days
Coaches
Kyle Shanahan vs Mike Macdonald

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.