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2025 Conference Championship · Sun, Jan 25, 2026 · Lumen Field
27
31
Seattle Seahawks 31–27. Biggest swing: Q4 4:59, LA +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(4:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short middle to 18-T.Ferguson (21-D.Witherspoon).
How the points landed
(10:03) 9-K.Walker right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 0 — SEA 7(8:19) 92-H.Mevis 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: LA 3 — SEA 7(:58) 5-J.Myers 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: LA 3 — SEA 10(12:16) 92-H.Mevis 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: LA 6 — SEA 10(2:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 23-K.Williams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 13 — SEA 10(:25) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN [8-J.Verse]. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 13 — SEA 17(12:07) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 19-J.Bobo for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-K.Turner]. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 13 — SEA 24(9:45) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 20 — SEA 24(4:57) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-K.Turner]. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 20 — SEA 31(2:13) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 12-P.Nacua for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 27 — SEA 31Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Rams | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 57 | 65 |
| Total yards | 479 (edge) | 396 |
| Yards per play | 8.4 (edge) | 6.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.32 (edge) | 0.20 |
| Success rate | 51% (edge) | 48% |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 62% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.48 (edge) | 0.48 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 (edge) | -0.25 |
| Third downs | 1/8 | 7/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 13 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 (edge) | 23 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Who moved the needle
Passing · LA
22/35, 374 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
16.2 expected points added · +6.2% completion over expected
Passing · SEA
25/36, 346 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
18.0 expected points added · +8.7% completion over expected
Receiving · SEA
10/12 for 153 yds, 1 TD
35% of team targets · 10.9 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | LA 31 | 5 | 7 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 19 | 8 | 81 | 3:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | LA | LA 27 | 7 | 47 | 1:42 | Field goal +3 | |
| 4 | SEA | SEA 35 | 13 | 66 | 7:21 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | LA | LA 35 | 9 | 33 | 3:43 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | SEA | SEA 35 | 6 | 11 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 7 | LA | LA 13 | 13 | 87 | 7:23 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | SEA | SEA 35 | 5 | 2 | 0:22 | Punt | |
| 9 | LA | LA 28 | 4 | 5 | 0:39 | Punt | |
| 10 | SEA | SEA 26 | 7 | 79 | 0:34 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | LA | LA 29 | 3 | 25 | 0:20 | End of half | |
| 12 | SEA | SEA 20 | 7 | 7 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 13 | SEA | LA 17 | 2 | 17 | 0:05 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | LA | LA 25 | 6 | 75 | 2:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 35 | 11 | 65 | 4:49 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | LA | LA 13 | 7 | 77 | 2:46 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | SEA | SEA 27 | 10 | 24 | 4:48 | Punt | |
| 18 | LA | LA 10 | 14 | 79 | 7:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | SEA | SEA 6 | 12 | 44 | 4:29 | Punt | |
| 20 | LA | LA 7 | 3 | 44 | 0:25 | End of game |
10 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 87 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 22/35 | 374 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Corum | 9 | 55 | 6.1 | 0 | 2.0 |
| Kyren Williams | 10 | 39 | 3.9 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Matthew Stafford | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| Puka Nacua | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 9 | 14 | 165 | 1 | 41% | 8.5 |
| Davante Adams | 4 | 6 | 89 | 1 | 18% | 6.8 |
| Colby Parkinson | 3 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 12% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Speights | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quentin Lake | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nate Landman | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Roger McCreary |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | 25/36 | 346 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | 19 | 62 | 3.3 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Seahawks closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 4.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 58 — over by 12.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 3.4 |
| Blake Corum | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 9% | 1.3 |
| Kyren Williams | 2 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 6% | 3.5 |
| Tyler Higbee | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | 0.1 |
| Ronnie Rivers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.6 |
| Konata Mumpfield | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -1.9 |
| Terrance Ferguson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -2.8 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Cobie Durant | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Darious Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kam Curl | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamren Kinchens | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Verse | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobie Turner | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -1.9 |
| Sam Darnold | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| George Holani | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 10 | 12 | 153 | 1 | 35% | 10.9 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 1 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 9% | 2.2 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 12% | 4.4 |
| Cooper Kupp | 4 | 6 | 36 | 1 | 18% | 4.4 |
| George Holani | 3 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 12% | 0.6 |
| Jake Bobo | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 6% | 1.2 |
| AJ Barner | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 9% | -0.0 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Jones | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drake Thomas | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Witherspoon | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Byron Murphy II | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Emmanwori | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tyrice Knight | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Love | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Jobe | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Saubert | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Riq Woolen | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
