2025 Super Bowl · Sun, Feb 8, 2026 · Levi's Stadium

Seattle SeahawksWinner

New England Patriots

SEA -4.5 ✓U 45.5 ✓Seahawks closed -4.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Seattle Seahawks 29–13. Biggest swing: Q1 13:50, NE +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:50SEA 0 — NE 0SEA ball · 2nd & 10SEA 70%

(13:50) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 88-A.Barner to NE 40 for 15 yards (31-C.Woodson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:50NE +6% win prob(13:50) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 88-A.Barner to NE 40 for 15 yards (31-C.Woodson).
Q2 · 11:20NE +5% win prob(11:20) 5-J.Myers 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Q2 · 14:04NE +5% win prob(14:04) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker left end pushed ob at NE 46 for 30 yards (25-M.Jones).
Q3 · 0:16SEA +5% win prob(:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 37 for -7 yards (58-D.Hall). FUMBLES (58-D.Hall) [58-D.Hall], RECOVERED by SEA-91-B.Murphy at NE 37.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 12:02SEA Field goal
(12:02) 5-J.Myers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 3 — NE 0
Q2 · 11:20SEA Field goal
(11:20) 5-J.Myers 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 6 — NE 0
Q2 · 0:16SEA Field goal
(:16) 5-J.Myers 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 9 — NE 0
Q3 · 9:17SEA Field goal
(9:17) 5-J.Myers 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 12 — NE 0
Q4 · 13:29SEA Touchdown
(13:29) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 88-A.Barner for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 19 — NE 0
Q4 · 12:33NE Touchdown
(12:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 13-M.Hollins for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 19 — NE 7
Q4 · 5:38SEA Field goal
(5:38) 5-J.Myers 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 22 — NE 7
Q4 · 4:37SEA Touchdown
(4:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle intended for 9-K.Boutte INTERCEPTED by 7-U.Nwosu (21-D.Witherspoon) [21-D.Witherspoon] at NE 45. 7-U.Nwosu for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 29 — NE 7
Q4 · 2:28NE Touchdown
(2:28) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: SEA 29 — NE 13

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Patriots
Offensive plays	71	67
Total yards	335 (edge)	332
Yards per play	4.7	5.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.05 (edge)	-0.31
Success rate	34%	40% (edge)
Dropback rate	56%	81%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.03 (edge)	-0.33
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.15 (edge)	-0.22
Third downs	4/16	6/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	20 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	6
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Drake MayeQB

27/43, 295 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-21.5 expected points added · +2.0% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Sam DarnoldQB

19/38, 202 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

0.4 expected points added · -8.3% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth Walker IIIRB

27 att, 135 yds, 0 TD

-2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Drake MayeQB

5 att, 37 yds, 0 TD

3.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Mack HollinsWR

4/8 for 78 yds, 1 TD

20% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Cooper KuppWR

6/12 for 61 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 0.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SEA	SEA 35	9	51	3:02	Field goal +3
2	NE	NE 28	10	28	4:47	Punt
3	SEA	SEA 10	4	4	1:04	Punt
4	NE	NE 36	5	6	2:38	Punt
5	SEA	SEA 13	7	10	3:10	Punt
6	NE	NE 32	4	5	1:09	Punt
7	SEA	SEA 24	8	55	2:54	Field goal +3
8	NE	NE 35	5	-2	2:00	Punt
9	SEA	SEA 29	9	29	4:18	Punt
10	NE	NE 2	7	15	2:08	Punt
11	SEA	SEA 43	9	34	2:39	Field goal +3
12	NE	NE 29	2	0	0:11	End of half
13	NE	NE 32	5	7	0:58	Punt
14	SEA	SEA 9	10	69	4:50	Field goal +3
15	NE	NE 32	5	9	1:38	Punt
16	SEA	SEA 18	4	2	2:24	Punt
17	NE	NE 27	4	6	1:32	Punt
18	SEA	SEA 21	4	6	1:43	Punt
19	NE	NE 27	5	5	1:45	Fumble
20	SEA	NE 37	6	37	1:46	Touchdown +7
21	NE	NE 35	5	65	0:57	Touchdown +7
22	SEA	SEA 31	6	10	1:47	Punt
23	NE	NE 4	7	40	2:03	Interception
24	SEA	NE 38	6	30	3:02	Field goal +3
25	NE	NE 38	5	18	1:08	Defensive touchdown
26	NE	NE 35	10	75	2:06	Touchdown +6
27	SEA	NE 46	5	-2	0:32	Punt
28	NE	NE 6	6	55	1:49	End of game

8 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Patriots gained 75 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Sam Darnold	19/38	202	1	0	1	0.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Kenneth Walker III	27	135	5.0	-2.0
George Holani	2	6	3.0	0.2
Sam Darnold	2	5	2.5	-0.8
Rashid Shaheed	1	-5	-5.0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Cooper Kupp	6	12	61	0	33%	0.2
AJ Barner	4	4	54	1	11%	6.8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	4	10	27	0	28%	-5.1
Rashid Shaheed	2	5	27	0	14%	-0.3
Kenneth Walker III	2	4	26	0	11%	1.1
George Holani	1	1	7	0	3%	0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Ernest Jones	10	1	0.0	0	0
Josh Jobe	6	1	0.0	0	1
Drake Thomas	3	3	0.0	0	0
Nick Emmanwori	4	1	0.0	0	0
Riq Woolen	4	0	0.0	0	0
Coby Bryant	3	1	0.0	0	1
Devon Witherspoon	4	0	1.0	0	1
Julian Love	2	1	0.0	1	1
Byron Murphy II	2	0	2.0	0	0
DeMarcus Lawrence	1	1	0.0	0	1

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Drake Maye	27/43	295	2	2	6	-21.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Drake Maye	5	37	7.4	3.7
Rhamondre Stevenson	7	23	3.3	-1.6
TreVeyon Henderson	6	19	3.2	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mack Hollins	4	8	78	1	20%	3.3
DeMario Douglas	5	7	45	0	17%	1.1
Rhamondre Stevenson	5	5	40	1	12%	4.9
Stefon Diggs	3	3	37	0	7%	1.5
Hunter Henry	3	5	31	0	12%	0.6
TreVeyon Henderson	3	3	26	0	7%	-1.9
Kayshon Boutte	1	5	21	0	12%	-12.0
Austin Hooper	2	3	10	0	7%	-0.3
Kyle Williams	1	2	7	0	5%	-5.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Craig Woodson	7	3	2
Marcus Jones	7	0	0
Carlton Davis III	5	1	0
Anfernee Jennings	3	2	1
Jaylinn Hawkins	4	1	0
Christian Gonzalez	4	0	3
Robert Spillane	1	3	0
Jack Gibbens	3	1	0
Christian Barmore	2	1	0
Christian Elliss	1	2	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -4.5
Closing total: 45.5
SEA moneyline: -238
NE moneyline: +195

Seahawks closed -4.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 42 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 67°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Shawn Smith
Rest: SEA 14 days · NE 14 days
Coaches: Mike Macdonald vs Mike Vrabel