2026 Week 11 · AT&T Stadium
Scheduled
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys — 2026 Week 11. Kickoff Sun, Nov 22, 2026.
No spread, no total and no moneyline are on the schedule row for this game yet. Lines are typically posted a few weeks out and the row fills when they are — nothing is estimated here in the meantime.
The kickoff ledger
Both clubs over the 2025 regular season
Cowboys leads the widest measured gap here: drives that scored, 29.8% against 48.0%, a 18.2-point difference.
Pass rate over expected: Titans ran 3.9 points more than the script asked; Cowboys ran 1.0 points more than the script asked.
The market read
No line has been posted
The schedule row for this game carries no spread, no total and no moneyline yet. Lines for a regular-season game are typically posted a few weeks out and the row fills when they are. Nothing is estimated here in the meantime — a made-up number on a preview is the one thing a preview must never do.
the 2025 regular season · offence against defence, ranked in both directions
Where these two disagree
The widest disagreement on this board is moving the ball at all, with the Cowboys holding the ball. The Cowboys offence ranked 5 of 32 among offences at adding expected points on a snap; the Titans defence ranked 28 of 32 among defences at giving them up. That is 74 percentile points, a mismatch, and it runs the Cowboys’ way.
When the Titans have the ball
Cam Wardagainst
the Cowboys
projected starter · chart of Thu, Sep 10, 2026
Expected points a play
TEN+6The single summary of whether a snap helped: how much a play changed its team's expected points, averaged over every run and pass. An offence wants it high, so the defence facing it wants the number it gives up low. Sacks are in the denominator, because a sack is a play that happened.
Titans offence
−0.160
30 of 32 · 995 plays
Cowboys defence
+0.167
32 of 32 · 1,027 plays
Week to week Titans's offence held its middle half of weeks between −0.308 and −0.087 over 17 weeks — 0.9 times the league's whole season spread, about as wide as the league itself. Cowboys's defence held its own between +0.113 and +0.302 — 0.8 times the league's whole season spread, about as wide as the league itself.
Explosive plays, 20 yards or more
TEN+6Titans offence
5.1%
27 of 32 · 995 plays
Cowboys defence
7.0%
29 of 32 · 1,027 plays
Staying on schedule
DAL+3Titans offence
37.9%
30 of 32 · 728 early downs
Cowboys defence
48.3%
29 of 32 · 802 early downs
Third downs converted
DAL+3Titans offence
31.9%
32 of 32 · 232 third downs
Cowboys defence
47.5%
31 of 32 · 200 third downs
Sacks on the dropback
DAL+3Titans offence
8.7%
27 of 32 · 646 dropbacks
Cowboys defence
5.5%
26 of 32 · 635 dropbacks
When the Cowboys have the ball
Dak Prescottagainst
the Titans
projected starter · chart of Thu, Sep 10, 2026
Expected points a play
DAL+74The single summary of whether a snap helped: how much a play changed its team's expected points, averaged over every run and pass. An offence wants it high, so the defence facing it wants the number it gives up low. Sacks are in the denominator, because a sack is a play that happened.
Cowboys offence
+0.098
5 of 32 · 1,104 plays
Titans defence
+0.101
28 of 32 · 992 plays
Week to week Cowboys's offence held its middle half of weeks between −0.013 and +0.180 over 17 weeks — 0.8 times the league's whole season spread, about as wide as the league itself. Titans's defence held its own between −0.067 and +0.267 — 1.5 times the league's whole season spread, wider than the league itself.
Explosive plays, 20 yards or more
DAL+52Cowboys offence
6.3%
10 of 32 · 1,104 plays
Titans defence
6.7%
26 of 32 · 992 plays
Staying on schedule
DAL+45Cowboys offence
46.5%
5 of 32 · 862 early downs
Titans defence
44.7%
19 of 32 · 772 early downs
Third downs converted
DAL+42Cowboys offence
42.9%
8 of 32 · 205 third downs
Titans defence
41.5%
21 of 32 · 200 third downs
Sacks on the dropback
DAL+13Cowboys offence
4.5%
6 of 32 · 684 dropbacks
Titans defence
7.0%
10 of 32 · 598 dropbacks
Note
the 2025 regular season · the rooms, read for these two clubs
Two identities, on the league scale
Last season, labelled as last season
Only 1 week of 2026 are in the books — too few to rank a team against thirty-one others without the number meaning less than it looks like it means. So every rate below is drawn from the 2025 regular season, labelled that way on purpose rather than dressed up as a forecast for this one.
Pass rate over expected
The Over Expected Room →How far a play-caller ran from the pass rate the situation asked for, in percentage points. A team above zero passes more than the down, distance and score script called for; a team below it runs more. A scramble counts as a pass, because the model's idea of a pass is the dropback.
Titans
-3.9
21 of 32 · 995 plays
Cowboys
-1.0
12 of 32 · 1,101 plays
Fourth downs, went for it
The Fourth Down Room →Share of fourth downs on which the offence ran a play instead of kicking. The denominator is every fourth down with a decision on it — go, field goal or punt.
Titans
24.1%
16 of 32 · 145 fourth downs
Cowboys
30.4%
4 of 32 · 112 fourth downs
Blitz sent on defence
The Tendency Room →Share of charted dropbacks this defence sent an extra rusher on. Charting is a separate feed from the play-by-play and it begins in 2022, so an older basis season has no blitz number at all.
Titans
25.8%
23 of 32 · 598 charted dropbacks
Cowboys
27.1%
20 of 32 · 635 charted dropbacks
Drives that scored
The Drive Room →Share of this offence's possessions that ended in a touchdown or a field goal.
Titans
29.8%
30 of 32 · 181 possessions
Cowboys
48.0%
2 of 32 · 177 possessions
Drives allowed to score
The Drive Room →Share of opponent possessions this defence let end in points. Lower is better, and the rank reads that way — rank 1 is the stingiest defence in the league. Every possession in football is one team's drive and another team's stop, so POOLED over the league these are the same drives counted twice. The figure printed here is the unweighted mean of the qualifying clubs' rates, which is a different average: a club that faces more drives than it runs pulls the two apart, by a few hundredths over a full season and by a few tenths early in one.
Titans
45.1%
28 of 32 · 184 possessions defended
Cowboys
51.4%
32 of 32 · 177 possessions defended
Projected starters · 2026 depth charts
Who is expected on the field
Titans
as of Thu, Sep 10, 2026Offence
- RBTony Pollard
- TEGunnar Helm
- QBCam Ward
- RTJC Latham
- WRCarnell Tate
- LTDan Moore Jr.
- LGPeter Skoronski
- CAustin Schlottmann
- RGFernando Carmona
Defence
- FSKevin Winston Jr.
- RCBAlontae Taylor
- NBMarcus Harris
- LDEJohn Franklin-Myers
- LDTJeffery Simmons
- RDTJordan Elliott
- RDEJermaine Johnson II
- WLBCedric Gray
- MLBCody Barton
- SLBJames Williams Sr.
- LCBCor'Dale Flott
- SSAmani Hooker
Special teams
- LSMorgan Cox
- KRChimere Dike
- HTommy Townsend
- PKJoey Slye
Cowboys
as of Thu, Sep 10, 2026Offence
- FBHunter Luepke
- RBJavonte Williams
- TEJake Ferguson
- QBDak Prescott
- WRCeeDee Lamb
- LTTyler Guyton
- LGT.J. Bass
- CCooper Beebe
- RGTyler Booker
- RTTerence Steele
Defence
- RCBDaRon Bland
- NBCaleb Downs
- LDEQuinnen Williams
- RDEKenny Clark
- WLBRashan Gary
- LILBDeMarvion Overshown
- NTOtito Ogbonnia
- RILBDee Winters
- SLBDonovan Ezeiruaku
- LCBCobie Durant
- SSJalen Thompson
- FSMalik Hooker
Special teams
- LSTrent Sieg
- KRKaVontae Turpin
- HBryan Anger
- PKBrandon Aubrey
Note
2025 regular season, weeks 1 through 18
The usage each side was carrying
Titans
| Player | G | Snap | Tgt | Car | RZ | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QBCam Ward | 16 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 9 | 11.1 |
| WRElic Ayomanor | 16 | 80.6% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 8 | 7.3 |
| WRCalvin Ridley | 5 | 77.6% | 22.4% | 0.0% | 2 | 8.4 |
| WRVan Jefferson | 14 | 64.8% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 5.0 |
| RBTony Pollard | 17 | 62.5% | 7.6% | 64.3% | 20 | 10.9 |
| WRChimere Dike | 17 | 59.3% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 16 | 7.5 |
| TEGunnar Helm | 16 | 52.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 8 | 5.7 |
| RBTyjae Spears | 13 | 45.9% | 12.3% | 24.9% | 17 | 8.6 |
Cowboys
| Player | G | Snap | Tgt | Car | RZ | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QBDak Prescott | 17 | 95.1% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 12 | 18.5 |
| WRGeorge Pickens | 17 | 81.1% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 24 | 17.2 |
| WRCeeDee Lamb | 13 | 77.8% | 25.1% | 0.2% | 17 | 15.5 |
| RBJavonte Williams | 16 | 69.0% | 8.6% | 59.4% | 66 | 15.2 |
| TEJake Ferguson | 17 | 66.7% | 16.5% | 0.2% | 25 | 11.1 |
| WRJalen Tolbert | 12 | 54.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 5 | 3.9 |
| WRRyan Flournoy | 15 | 47.7% | 11.1% | 1.1% | 7 | 7.6 |
| WRKaVontae Turpin | 15 | 35.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5 | 5.6 |
Note
Head to head · every meeting on record
The last 6 meetings
- Thu, Dec 29, 2022Week 17Cowboys 27 at Titans 13DAL by 14
- Mon, Nov 5, 2018Week 9Titans 28 at Cowboys 14TEN by 14
- Sun, Sep 14, 2014Week 2Cowboys 26 at Titans 10DAL by 16
- Sun, Oct 10, 2010Week 5Titans 34 at Cowboys 27TEN by 7
- Sun, Oct 1, 2006Week 4Cowboys 45 at Titans 14DAL by 31
- Sun, Sep 15, 2002Week 2Titans 13 at Cowboys 21DAL by 8
Finals only, both home orderings folded together, newest first. Kickoff for this one is Sun, Nov 22, 2026.
Take it with you
Every number on them comes from the same read as this page, and each one says in words where it came from.
The market number, who both clubs have been, and the one question this matchup asks.
/football/games/2026_11_TEN_DAL
The cards are drawn from the play-by-play sync, not live, and each one says so on its face.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- AT&T Stadium
- Roof / surface
- matrixturf
- Kickoff weather
- Not observed yet — the reading is taken at kickoff.
- Referee
- Crew not assigned yet.
- Rest
- Titans 7 days · Cowboys 7 days
- Coaches
- Robert Saleh vs Brian Schottenheimer