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Real co-hit rates vs the naive number — which props move together and which fight.
The Scout’s Notebook
Prop correlation is the degree to which two props move together — a pitcher's strikeouts and the opposing team's total, or a quarterback's passing yards and his receiver's receptions — and it is the hidden engine behind fairly priced parlays.
Books frequently price correlated legs as independent, which is exactly where a correlation-aware read finds value the market has left on the table.
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