A fair line for every bet
We remove the book's cut from the sharpest market we can read, so each side gets a true chance to win. That chance is the yardstick for every other price.
+EV finder
Bets priced better than the sharp market, ranked live.
We take the vig out of the sharpest prices to get a fair line, then flag every book that pays more than fair. The gap is your edge, in points.
What it finds
The book paying too much
When one book's price implies a lower chance than fair, the bet is +EV. We list it with the book, the price and the edge in percent.
How much to stake
Each bet carries a quarter-Kelly stake sized to the edge, so a thin edge gets a small bet and a big edge gets a bigger one.
Reading one +EV bet
Illustration, not a live betOffered price+120
Fair chance48.0%
Fair price+108
Edge+5.6%
- +120 pays $2.20 back for every $1, stake included.
- If the side wins 48% of the time, $1 bet returns 0.48 × 2.20 = $1.056 on average.
- That is 5.6 cents of expected profit per dollar, before limits and line moves.
A 5.6% edge is real value, and it still loses 52% of the time. EV shows up over hundreds of bets, never one.
Before you bet it
- The price is still there. Edges close fast once sharp books move.
- The fair line uses enough books. A fair price built from one book is a guess.
- Your book will take the bet at that size. Limits on props can be small.
- You can live with the losing nights. A +5% bet still loses about half the time.
Free and with the betting plan
What you seeSigned outBetting plan
How many +EV bets are liveShownShown
The bets themselvesTop 3Every bet
Book, price and edgeTop 3Every bet
Stake size (Kelly)LockedShown
Every book's price and how the fair line was builtLockedShown
From our own data
+0.33 pts
NBA prop bets our board flagged beat the closing line by 0.33 percentage points on average, and 54.4% of them beat it at all.
11,308 graded bets, Jun 14 to Oct 27, 2026. 3,440 more could not be graded, mostly because the close was stale. Results vary.
How closing-line value works