Independent-legs math is the reference: same-game legs are correlated, and this page says so rather than pretending otherwise. Correlation-priced tickets live on the sport parlay desks.
How it works
- 1Enter each leg's price. Add up to ten legs; the combined odds multiply live.
- 2Optionally add fair probabilities. Each leg's devigged chance turns the payout into a true EV.
- 3Read payout and EV. Book-implied probability versus your true probability — the gap is the book's parlay margin.
Why do parlays have higher hold than straight bets?
Because the vig on each leg multiplies through the ticket: three legs each carrying ~2.4% of margin compound to roughly 7% against you before correlation pricing makes it worse. A parlay is only +EV when the legs themselves are +EV by more than the compounded vig.
Dynatyze Betting is analytics and education for people 21 and over. It is not a sportsbook: no wager is ever placed on Dynatyze — the tools help you find and price the best available bet elsewhere. If gambling stops being fun, help is free and confidential at 1-800-GAMBLER.