Parlay Calculator
Give every leg a price and this becomes the payout, and the true EV if you know the fair legs.
For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
Give every leg a price and this becomes the payout, and the true EV if you know the fair legs.
The Scout’s Notebook
A parlay's decimal odds are the product of its legs' decimal odds — two −110 legs multiply to 3.64, about +264 — and its true expected value is the product of the legs' fair probabilities times that payout.
Independent-legs math is the reference: same-game legs are correlated, and this page says so rather than pretending otherwise. Correlation-priced tickets live on the sport parlay desks.
Because the vig on each leg multiplies through the ticket: three legs each carrying ~2.4% of margin compound to roughly 7% against you before correlation pricing makes it worse. A parlay is only +EV when the legs themselves are +EV by more than the compounded vig.
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