Every book's season price
Title, conference, division and award odds, plus season win totals, side by side across the books we read.
Futures and win totals
Season prices, and the hold inside them.
Futures markets carry far more vig than a single game. We line up every book's season prices, measure the hold in each market and give every team a fair price.
What it finds
The hold, measured
Add up every team's implied chance in a market and the excess over 100% is the book's cut. We print it for each market.
A fair price per team
With the hold taken out, each team gets a fair chance and a fair price, so a long shot that is merely expensive is easy to tell from one that is good.
The hold in a four-team market
Illustration, not a live betPrices+120, +250, +350, +500
Implied total112.9%
Hold12.9 points
Fair price, +350 team+408
- The four prices imply 45.5%, 28.6%, 22.2% and 16.7%, which adds up to 112.9%.
- Only 100% can happen, so 12.9 points of that is the book's cut.
- Scale each team down by 112.9 and the +350 team is a 19.7% chance, worth +408.
At +350 you are paying the full cut. Find +450 somewhere and the same team is priced better than fair.
Before you bet it
- You have compared the price across books. Futures prices vary more than game lines.
- Your money is tied up until the season ends. Count that as a cost.
- The hold in the market is not eating the whole edge.
Free and with the betting plan
What you seeSigned outBetting plan
Season prices across booksLockedShown
Hold per marketLockedShown
Fair price per teamLockedShown